Public posts
After a stellar 2025, 2026 has seen a pivot away from precious & critical minerals, as we await a new pivot From the standpoint of the most precious metal of…
Putting into words and visuals what I've been developing in written form over the last several weeks. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fyZkTPeX0RY For “best of breed” top-down macro analysis and market strategy covering Precious…
Gold stocks and the yield curve; Bessent & Warsh Op/Twist-lite paints temporary Goldilocks On the charts below, perhaps you can see why, if they are successful in pressuring the yield…
Goldilocks has been our favored short-term outcome, and she just took a step forward Today [Wednesday] FOMC did the very much expected and hiked the Fed Funds Rate by .25%…
Our Theme of a 2003-2007 phase centered on commercial banks takes a step forward Reference this NFTRH excerpt from July 13th: Commercial Bank Deregulation Upcoming? The thesis being that it's…
Are bond market front-runners getting, well, run... or if Bessent failing? I think it is a worthwhile question. It would be classic for those front-running a policymaker who advertised his…
Goldilocks hangs in the balance of the Bessent, Warsh, Trump media drama We find ourselves at CPI/PPI week, just prior to FOMC week. Let the cacophonous Misdirection Olympics begin! You…
NFTRH 931 excerpt Excerpted from this week's edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole: Macro & Data I had a meeting with a young man from Taiwan on Friday morning.…
And I don't mean Hazel... Although Hazel and her grotesque grin are back as well, as August payrolls knocked it out of the park on the back of non-productive Leisure/Hospitality…
Operation Twist 1.0 was a stroke of pure (evil) genius by Ben Bernanke 15 years ago, and two modern day Wizards may be trying to engineer something similar today "Sanitize"…
Excerpted from the August 23rd edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole Before Getting to the segment, I just found out that during the same week Bessent announced a stimulative…
After the rally completes, a precious metals pullback is likely upcoming, to be followed by resumed broad market leadership How We Got Here 2025 was a stellar year for the…
A video with TA on stocks, precious metals and ratios for macro indications Settled in my new downsized home after two years of apartment living, I have a real office…
Stocks, commodities and precious metals are bullish, as anticipated, but post-election balance will shift It's all been bullish after the summer swoon, as anticipated. While one reliable indicator we track…