US Cannabis Industry Approaches Breakout Point

The US Cannabis Industry, as represented by the ETF, MSOS, is quietly approaching key resistance to a base breakout

The US Cannabis industry, and in particular, the multi-state operators (MSO) are sneaking toward a key breakout point in the volatile rally that has ensued since the Trump administration put out this executive order in December:

Increasing Medical Marijuana and Cannabidiol Research

Here is the sector ETF, MSOS, contemplating a would-be breakout, as the sector looks toward a potential expansion of rescheduling from Schedule 1 to 3.

A stock chart showing the performance of the MSOS ETF from early 2023 to June 2026, featuring moving averages, RSI, and MACD indicators. Key price levels and trading volume are also indicated.

I currently hold multi-state operator GTBIF, the ETF, MSOS and CRON (not a US MSO).

I have been slowly creeping the sector, but that pace has led me to miss out on re-buying GLASF, which I sold too soon and watched continue upward. I don’t want to chase at this time.

Line chart displaying the stock performance of Glass House Brands Inc. (GLASF) over time, with indicators including 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA) shown in blue and orange, respectively. Volume bars are illustrated at the bottom, alongside Relative Strength Index (RSI) and MACD indicators.

TCNNF, which just got uplisted to NYSE, is also shooting to a breakout. These two are leading the wider sector toward a break out (still in the “would-be” category). But it is still a gamble to some degree (what in the stock market is not ultimately that?).

A stock market chart showing the price movement of Trulieve Cannabis Corporation. The chart includes candles, a blue 50-day moving average, an orange 200-day moving average, and indicators such as RSI and MACD.

Expanded rescheduling is no done deal, because there will be hearings on the matter this summer. But if ‘recreational’ attains the same status as ‘medical’ (a change to Schedule 3) these base patterns should be left behind for good.

Viewing this map of legalization status, it looks like the tide has turned from grey to blue and green, with the destination overwhelmingly green in the future. And it’s far from only ‘liberal’ states that have fully legalized pot. You know, it’s a Libertarian issue as well. At the honest heart of it, you don’t get much more conservative than “Libertarian” (at least per what “conservative” used to mean, IMO).

We’ll continue tracking the progress as one of a few interesting sectors in NFTRH with current and/or future positions noted in the Portfolios segment.

US Cannabis industry Map of the United States displaying cannabis legalization status, with states highlighted in green for fully legalized, blue for medical use, and gray for illegal.
Source: Advisorshares.com

Guys? What do you think?

“Hey, what is in this shit, man?”

“It’s mostly Maui Wowie, man… but it’s got some Labrador in it.”

“What’s Labrador?”

“It’s dog shit. Yeah, my dog ate my stash, man. Had it on the table and the little mother fucker ate it, man. So I had to follow him around with a little baggie for 3 days before I got it back. Really blew the dog’s mind.”

“You mean we’re smokin’ dog shit, man?”

“It gets ya high, don’t it?”

Two men sitting inside a colorful van, with musical instruments visible in the background. One man is smoking while the other looks towards him.

Okay, way to end a serious post… man.

For “best of breed” top-down macro analysis and market strategy covering Precious Metals, Commodities, Stocks and much more, subscribe to NFTRH Premium, which includes a comprehensive weekly market report, detailed NFTRH+ updates and chart/trade setup ideas, and Daily Market Notes. Receive actionable (free) public content at NFTRH.com and subscribe to our free Substack.

Testimonials

Gary

NFTRH.com

Leave a Reply