Previous articles and posts of interest.
Treasury Bonds, stocks and precious metals during a key macro phase Treasury Bonds In originally anticipating a Yield Curve flattening and potential Goldilocks environment, long-term Treasury yields were expected to…
The gold stock correction has dragged on for all of 2026, and it is finally maturing Indeed, the correction likely already ended back in July. But the decline from the…
Ratio charts are a guide to the inner workings, the 'guts' of the market Any chart jockey can pull up a stock, ETF or index chart and make an interpretation.…
An article on the gold stocks I wrote for Streetwise Reports In an effort to expand my audience I decided to accept an invitation to submit exclusive public articles to…
Gold and silver continue to be mired in a now maturing correction It has been a long slog since the expected correction began (on the January 29th spike and reversal)…
The anticipated Goldilocks macro appears to be in effect, absent some classic signals In anticipating a Goldilocks macro, we (NFTRH) planned for a disinflationary phase, with nominal Treasury yields pulling…
After a stellar 2025, 2026 has seen a pivot away from precious & critical minerals, as we await a new pivot From the standpoint of the most precious metal of…
Gold stocks and the yield curve; Bessent & Warsh Op/Twist-lite paints temporary Goldilocks On the charts below, perhaps you can see why, if they are successful in pressuring the yield…
Goldilocks has been our favored short-term outcome, and she just took a step forward Today [Wednesday] FOMC did the very much expected and hiked the Fed Funds Rate by .25%…
Our Theme of a 2003-2007 phase centered on commercial banks takes a step forward Reference this NFTRH excerpt from July 13th: Commercial Bank Deregulation Upcoming? The thesis being that it's…
Are bond market front-runners getting, well, run... or if Bessent failing? I think it is a worthwhile question. It would be classic for those front-running a policymaker who advertised his…
Goldilocks hangs in the balance of the Bessent, Warsh, Trump media drama We find ourselves at CPI/PPI week, just prior to FOMC week. Let the cacophonous Misdirection Olympics begin! You…
NFTRH 931 excerpt Excerpted from this week's edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole: Macro & Data I had a meeting with a young man from Taiwan on Friday morning.…
And I don't mean Hazel... Although Hazel and her grotesque grin are back as well, as August payrolls knocked it out of the park on the back of non-productive Leisure/Hospitality…