I found this pretty humorous since I am personally printing a big loss on my TBT position. He’s making even better bank today if he
Category: Bonds
When the Bond Bubble Blows Up
Amazing isn’t it? It was only back in H2 2018 when everybody but you (because you are as smart as I think you are or
The Bond Yield Continuum and Gold
Have you heard the news? US Treasury bonds are sky rocketing as it turns out there is no inflation amid a global central bank NIRP-a-thon
When Deflation is in the Air
When deflation is in the air you have people getting hysterical about negative interest rates and safe haven Treasury bonds. You have people telling us
A Makeshift Yield Curve Steepener
I have held SHY (1-3 year Treasury bond fund) as a cash equivalent for many months now. It’s paid out a lot of good income
Time to Talk Bonds Again
Over the years we’ve made a pretty big deal about how the herds get put off sides in bonds prior to macro cycle changes. The
The Inflated Sub is Losing Pressure
The charts are super interesting to look at. How quickly things turn, as if on a dime. 2018 featured a break above the Continuum’s limiter
Junk finally cracks
Dividend unadjusted HYG broke down a few days ago and for months now we’ve been noting the breakdowns vs. Treasury and Investment Grade. But today
The Macro TIPS Toward Inflation Protection
No long-winded post about what I think it means. Just a picture of the ‘inflation protected’ US Treasury bond iShares (including dividends) hitting new highs.
Just Another Boring Post About the 2yr Yield
After yet another viewing of a widely followed Twitter muckraker calling out Jerome Powell with righteous sounding outrage and indignation (and getting the troops all
A Talky Bond Yield Chart With a Story to Tell
It’s our old friend the 2 year yield and its relationship to the S&P 500. The last time we checked in with this chart we
About That Bond Bear Market…
Surely you recall the hype, set on full blast Bond Armageddon mode to blow every last risk ‘off’ player out and into the various inflated
The Long Bond is a Little Wedgie
We know that the long bond’s yield has closed a month above the EMA 100 for the first time in decades… There is a daily
About Those Bond Yields
The idea was that the Fed needs the market to crack because the Fed does not want to see bond yields get out of the