Over the years we’ve made a pretty big deal about how the herds get put off sides in bonds prior to macro cycle changes. The
Category: Bonds
The Inflated Sub is Losing Pressure
The charts are super interesting to look at. How quickly things turn, as if on a dime. 2018 featured a break above the Continuum’s limiter
Junk finally cracks
Dividend unadjusted HYG broke down a few days ago and for months now we’ve been noting the breakdowns vs. Treasury and Investment Grade. But today
The Macro TIPS Toward Inflation Protection
No long-winded post about what I think it means. Just a picture of the ‘inflation protected’ US Treasury bond iShares (including dividends) hitting new highs.
Just Another Boring Post About the 2yr Yield
After yet another viewing of a widely followed Twitter muckraker calling out Jerome Powell with righteous sounding outrage and indignation (and getting the troops all
A Talky Bond Yield Chart With a Story to Tell
It’s our old friend the 2 year yield and its relationship to the S&P 500. The last time we checked in with this chart we
About That Bond Bear Market…
Surely you recall the hype, set on full blast Bond Armageddon mode to blow every last risk ‘off’ player out and into the various inflated
The Long Bond is a Little Wedgie
We know that the long bond’s yield has closed a month above the EMA 100 for the first time in decades… There is a daily
About Those Bond Yields
The idea was that the Fed needs the market to crack because the Fed does not want to see bond yields get out of the
Treasury Bonds and the Fed
Excerpted from the Market Internals segment of this week’s Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 522. The segment focused on the bond market and its
Bond Bears Next to Get Clobbered?
[edit] I do not at this time own any bonds, aside from T Bill funds. Stock market bulls are getting dope hammered and that may
Here We Go… 30yr Yield Continuum Front & Center
Here is the thing everyone is talking about; a spike in long-term yields to the highest point yet. This chart – if you want to
Look Who is Still Not Buying the Bond Bear
Why, it’s the Pigs. Despite all the interest rate hype the Banks, which should benefit from a breakout in long-term yields, are still bearish. In
Sentiment Still Constructive for Bonds
Whether it’s the interplay between 10yr and 2yr (i.e. the Yield Curve) or the state of nominal bonds/yields, they are central to everything, along with