The Continuum (monthly 30yr yield with the 100 month EMA ‘limiter’) simply states that the economy was weakening, as were inflation expectations, before 2020. In
Category: Interest Rates
Who Needs Treasury Yields, Anyway?
I mean, in this country now where anything the president wishes to be true becomes true, why not simply erase my favorite long-term indicator to
Your daily Yield Curve steepener view…
Just keeping tabs on the most important indicator out there (IMO of course). With reference to the previous post on sentiment, maybe it is not
Yield Curve steepens further still
Far be it from me to let a couple of good days get me all giddy, but this freakin’ market is F.U.N. fun again. That
Yield Curve steepening progress
Just another look at the indicator that is going to decide deflationary (current), inflationary (not yet) and which asset markets get destroyed or out/under perform
Yield Spread continues to grind toward steeping
At this time it is obviously a deflationary steepening. If this continues the boom as we knew it will be over. I say “as we
Looks like Trump will get his NIRP after all
See? Here we are racing to the bottom of the barrel along with everybody else. I guess the green trend line just about intersects ZERO
10yr/2yr Yield Spread Steepens to Highest Level Since the Boom
Here is the up close view of the spread, which continues to steepen since the summer mini-inversion. May be nothing, probably is something. And that
100% Chance of a .5% Point Cut in March
Hey, it’s not me speculating upon that. It’s the CME wise guys. A Corona-cut is on the way. On Friday we noted 100% chance of
Yield Curve Steepening Blip
This week’s events have even started to budge this holdout into action with a little blip toward re-steepening. I’ve been wondering if the 10yr/2yr yield
Oh Jerome?
Bond market calling… Subscribe to NFTRH Premium (monthly at USD $35.00 or a discounted yearly at USD $365.00) for an in-depth weekly market report, interim
Jerome? Hello? Bond Market Calling…
30 year Treasury yield (daily chart) is making a new low. 30 year Treasury yield (monthly chart) is way out of the Fed’s implied comfort
There Goes 2.2%
The 30 year yield is below the 2.2% level. That is important because… …this… If this keeps up it’s a situation that is not positive
30 Year Yield on a Key Test
A key test by one important indicator is taking place now. Back when we were gauging the potential for the reflation trades one aspect would