With the June Jobs release behind us, the 10/2 yield spread/curve (CNBC) is left to do its part in indicating the future. It maintains its
Category: Interest Rates
Da Rate Cut Boyz Back Off a Bit
Last time I looked at the CME futures traders’ projections for the July FOMC, there was no (zero, none, zilch) chance for a rate hold
10/2 Yield Spread Alligator Chomping Along
The most recent tooth in this alligator’s jaw is toward the flattening side as the 10/2 continues to grind out a potential steepener for 2019.
Yield Spread Launches on FOMC
Aye aye aye, the yield curve liked (or didn’t like, depending on how you view it) something that went on today after 2:00 US Eastern
Updating the Yield Spread (simple post morphs into a full frontal screed)
Here is the 10/2 as presented live here. The spread is pulling back very recently but maintains a modest uptrend (steepening) for 2019. Here is
The Yield Curve’s Unpleasant Macro Hint
As per the last post the curve did steepen today. Here’s the daily chart. Looks kinda similar to early October, doesn’t it? Okay, that is
Yield Curve
I don’t have a real time vehicle (that I know of) to see the 10yr-2yr yield curve in-day, but I do have the SHY (1-3
Yield Curves, 2yr Yield, SPX (and a Crack Up Boom?)
While the 30-5 year yield curve does this, implying some inflationary issues… The more commonly watched 10-2 year does this, implying ongoing Goldilocks… While the
2-Year Yield Pushes Back, Supports US Dollar Today
Here is the 2yr yield on a bounce today but still below the down-crossed SMAs 50 & 200. And here is USD taking a bit
Long-term Treasury Yields on the Move
The 10 year yield is in a short-term bounce pattern, which is completely unsurprising as it goes in positive correlation with stocks on their relief
Watch the Damn 2 Year Yield
We have had several indicators swinging bearish but a big holdout has been the 2 year Treasury yield’s signal that the Fed had not yet
30yr-5yr Curve Grinds Upward
We asked the question previously of the 10-2, and now we ask whether it is good that the 30-5 is grinding upward on this phase
About Those Bond Yields
The idea was that the Fed needs the market to crack because the Fed does not want to see bond yields get out of the
Homies & Real Estate: Does This Look Healthy?
[edit] As if on cue, out comes Anthony B. Sanders with… US Housing Starts Plunge Under Rising Interest Rates I agree with you, this does