We have pointed out that the “inverted yield curve!!!” hype of last summer was just that, technical sounding hyperbole for the public to get riled
Category: Interest Rates
US 10/2 Yield Spread: “Slowly I Turn… “
I had a feeling the post-FOMC plunge might be a final shake out of the steepener contingent, of which I am a card carrying member,
Out of Control Trump Urges Zero % Interest Rates [w/edit]
[edit] My friend Scott chimes in thusly… “Oh, nice post this morning, all I can say and ever say is what Pete Townsend so accurately
Yield Curve Smashed
This is just breathtaking, as the would-be steepener is now dead and buried. It has the feel of a final and dramatic move. A lot
Yield Curve Control, Whether Intended or Not [edit: Trump Tweets, Dow shears 300 points; high comedy]
[edit] I started a simple yield curve post with the markets very green and before hitting the Publish button see a red stock market on
Yields and Some of the Things They Influence
Long-term yields bumped up today… This of course bumped my position in the T-bond bear up. It bumped my position in the Regional Banks iShares
10/2 Yield Spread, Live
With the June Jobs release behind us, the 10/2 yield spread/curve (CNBC) is left to do its part in indicating the future. It maintains its
Da Rate Cut Boyz Back Off a Bit
Last time I looked at the CME futures traders’ projections for the July FOMC, there was no (zero, none, zilch) chance for a rate hold
10/2 Yield Spread Alligator Chomping Along
The most recent tooth in this alligator’s jaw is toward the flattening side as the 10/2 continues to grind out a potential steepener for 2019.
Yield Spread Launches on FOMC
Aye aye aye, the yield curve liked (or didn’t like, depending on how you view it) something that went on today after 2:00 US Eastern
Updating the Yield Spread (simple post morphs into a full frontal screed)
Here is the 10/2 as presented live here. The spread is pulling back very recently but maintains a modest uptrend (steepening) for 2019. Here is
The Yield Curve’s Unpleasant Macro Hint
As per the last post the curve did steepen today. Here’s the daily chart. Looks kinda similar to early October, doesn’t it? Okay, that is
Yield Curve
I don’t have a real time vehicle (that I know of) to see the 10yr-2yr yield curve in-day, but I do have the SHY (1-3
Yield Curves, 2yr Yield, SPX (and a Crack Up Boom?)
While the 30-5 year yield curve does this, implying some inflationary issues… The more commonly watched 10-2 year does this, implying ongoing Goldilocks… While the