Despite a tough week for stocks into Friday, February 9, three big picture macro indicators have continued to support a risk 'on' backdrop. Many of the shorter-term indicators we watch,…
Right. I don't think so either. [edit] That's pretty funny. I no sooner finished the post, took a look at the futures and saw that stocks had reversed down and…
I try to have a lot of different ways of looking at the macro backdrop because if enough of them imply the same thing then a strong probabilities-based thesis can…
Seriously, he does not often write long posts on the blog (and indeed, this is an excerpt from the venue where he does take a lot of time and care…
We have not looked at the market's internals and relative sector performance for a couple of weeks because the market cracked, was in motion and straight TA took precedence. But…
He's the one in the middle, looking like he's bracing for something... The 10yr yield has officially hit 2.9% today (the 30yr still has a bit of headroom to 3.3%).…
Yup, I said I am short Semis and Tech, but I am much longer the market. Remember, I am not one of you fancy traders; I am a portfolio twittler.…
All according to plan, I might add. Well, the "sending markets tumbling" part is its own animal. But as far as inflation fears and Treasury bond yields go, we're on…
With the gold sector having held key support and now bouncing with the risk 'on' markets after dropping with those markets, I don't find reason yet to view the sector…
While using one of my primary educational sources, the boy plunger, Jesse Livermore earlier in the article... “I learned early that there is nothing new in Wall Street. There can’t…
A quick view of some signals the market is giving us during the expected relief rally. We used two premier Semi Equipment companies as a gauge in ratio to the…
Written over the weekend, when the gold sector was down in the dumps and after I had been buying miners on Thursday and especially Friday, per the NFTRH Trade Log...…
Now that I've beat you to a pulp (and even managed to irritate myself) on bonds, let's update our friendly pig, the S&P 500 per the chart we used last…
Look, I am not trying to predict anything. The new buzz phrase I find myself clobbering NFTRH subscribers with lately (and not just with the bond market) is about not…