Ponder the Picture

No, not that picture! The big macro view picture of the 30yr Treasury yield. Ole' Bill is lookin' good in his bond bear call so far after a recent hiccup.…

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How Perfect, the Pause in Yields?

Media screws the contrary pooch (again) This time it's Bloomberg and its BOND KING du jour*, Bill Gross making the call. And exactly one more hysterical day followed the call…

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NFTRH 647, Out Now

It's a solid report covering what needs to be covered, especially now that the thing that was so disbelieved a year ago is now so universally believed. You've got to…

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Gold’s Correction Approaching a Limit?

Gold and long-term Treasury bonds are risk 'off' bedfellows If you think that the heretofore inflation signaling 30yr bond yield is approaching an upside limit maybe you think the same…

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As the Inflation Continues

As the inflation continues... We find charts doing exactly as would be expected under such circumstance. This weekly chart shows Long-term Treasury yields rising in conjunction with inflation expectations (TIP/TLT)…

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Gold/Bond Ratios Merely Adjusting

In NFTRH we track Gold/Stocks consistently and Gold/Commodities and Gold/Currencies ratios fairly routinely. But we've not looked at gold's ratios to bonds in a long while. I see Gold/Bonds as…

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There Goes 2.2%

The 30 year yield is below the 2.2% level. That is important because... ...this... If this keeps up it's a situation that is not positive to the inflationary, reflationary view.…

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3 Other Amigos Well Aligned

Just a light duty post to show you 3 different items that would travel together in a would-be reflation trade. This chart is probably over a year old and was…

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What Thing Looks Like the Other Thing?

I thought so... The Bond Yield Continuum and Gold Gold’s vulnerability, in theory at least, is the fact that it has gone hand in hand with something that is stretched…

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