NFTRH+; Bond roadmap
The 30yr Treasury yield is doing as expected, dropping from the hysterical high at the 3.45% target. The target for the pullback is 2.5%, which coincides with the uptrending daily…
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August 2, 2022
NFTRH 716, out now
For "best of breed" top down analysis of all major markets, subscribe to NFTRH Premium, which includes an in-depth weekly market report, detailed market updates and NFTRH+ dynamic updates and…
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July 31, 2022
Post-FOMC contrarian window open
The time is now for the broad market rally to gain a following It's a bear market. The trends make that assertion, not me. But as noted in an NFTRH…
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July 29, 2022
Bonds continue to indicate contrarian potential
As the almighty Fed (of Oz) prepares to render its decision... Treasury bonds continue to hammer out interesting daily chart patterns. Some notes on this... The daily charts say one…
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July 26, 2022
NFTRH 715 (online edition)
An unexpected commitment has popped up this weekend and so this week's report is posted online in a format that is easier for me to manage, time-wise. It will be…
July 23, 2022
30yr on the way to 2.5%?
It would seem so, as the current NFTRH target awaits despite a hawking Fed While day to day it can be frustrating watching a plan play out in a volatile…
July 22, 2022
NFTRH 714, out now
And I've gotta run. It's been a busy few weekends this summer. Next weekend will be no different. But then I think my schedule clears up nicely, just in time…
July 17, 2022
NFTRH 712, out now
And I gotta run! Happy 4th, folks. For "best of breed" top down analysis of all major markets, subscribe to NFTRH Premium, which includes an in-depth weekly market report, detailed…
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July 3, 2022
NFTRH 710, out now
It talks a lot... For "best of breed" top down analysis of all major markets, subscribe to NFTRH Premium, which includes an in-depth weekly market report, detailed market updates and…
June 19, 2022
NFTRH+; Important Treasury bond (macro) update
Per this post yesterday the 2yr Treasury yield has taken out the 2018 high and a secular bull market trend (lower highs in yields) has been broken in short-term bonds.…
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June 16, 2022
The Fed’s position, in one picture
The Fed Funds rate has caught up to the 3 month T-bill yield, but the 2 year yield lurks above You can see that the Fed closed the gap as…
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June 15, 2022
NFTRH 707, out now
The screenshot is maybe being a little modest but really, there was not much to add as the markets are doing pretty much as expected with regard to sentiment and…
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May 29, 2022
The new non-inflationary curve steepener
10-2yr Yield Curve steepening, but not due to inflation While the headlines continue to blare inflation 24/7, an indicator of the 2020-2021 inflation diverges the hysteria. Sure, the yield curve…
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May 26, 2022
Just another ‘bonds are diverging inflation hysteria’ post as they ready the goons
As they ready the FOMC minutes to be inflicted upon the markets... We note that anti-inflation Treasury bonds are still in bounce mode and hence, yields are still in pullback…
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May 25, 2022
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