Yields Jump; Long and Short-term Views

It has been frustrating for me trying to manage the long-term interest rate backdrop. I saw all the reason in the world that the 10yr & 30yr would take a…

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Long-term Interest Rates and the Macro Plan

Folks, the 'yield's rising to the limiters' near-term plan has been frustrating. Not for my own investment and trading because I've stayed balanced with a focus on interest rate  neutral…

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Pigs vs. SPY & Yields Out of Whack

Why has this market been so challenging for me? Well, for one thing a logical connection between the KBE/SPY ratio and yields broke recently as long-term yields rammed upward and…

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10yr Treasury Note and its Yield

I am staying patient on this not only because the daily charts have not completely given up the rising yields play, but also because the monthly charts still look poised…

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Yields & Macro Status

Last week these moderators were included in a post about the breakout in long-term yields and its implications... "This week, assuming it is confirmed by remaining active through the FOMC…

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NFTRH; Long-term Interest Rate Status

This morning in pre-market the 10yr US Treasury Note it testing its breakdown at the blue dot on the chart. And the 10yr yield is testing the top of its…

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NFTRH; Making Plans

Folks, as a portfolio balancer things are becoming clearer, assuming the move up in interest rates is real today (see this post showing the details). As a trader, things continue…

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Treasury Yields: Here We Go, Folks

If this morning's break above resistance is real you'll need to have your thinking caps on in the coming weeks. It's about to get really noisy out there. If the…

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Yields, Banks and the Macro

Everybody knows (or should know) that the leadership of the Pigs to the stock market is directed by long-term interest rates. Here's the KBE/SPY ratio against the 10yr yield. If…

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NFTRH; 2 Sectors Keying Off Interest Rates

As everybody knows, long-term interest rates have been rising since the beginning of September, well before the FOMC supposedly surprised markets with a lean to a hawkish stance (for December)…

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Bullshit Detectors at the Ready!

The US dollar is finally bouncing and so are Treasury yields. One of several legs that could get kicked out from under the S&P 500's potentially bearish table is a…

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