Macro & Market Indicators (NFTRH 419 Excerpt)

Here are some clips from NFTRH 419's Macro & Market Indicators segment.  There was a lot more information and interpretation in the original segment and the report on the whole,…

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Updating Inflation Expectations Heading Into FOMC

Let's take a quick look at the state of bonds, yields and spreads. First, remember when we projected upside of 138 on TLT?  Remember when they (momo freaks, people stampeding…

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NFTRH 415 Out Now

US Stock Market:  Trend is bullish, but other than the big display in the Semis last week and a bullish looking Tranny, most items remain below the key parameter we…

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Yield Curve Breakout, Weekly View

A look at the yield curve by weekly chart.  Sooner or later one of these breakouts will be real and it will signal the end of the era of confidence…

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Post-Brainard, Yields and Yield Dynamics

Let's take a stroll through the interest rate situation, using daily charts instead of the usual bigger picture weeklies a day after Lael Brainard schooled us about the "new normal"…

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Bonds, Gold and Inflation

US yields are not aligned for the inflationary view as the yield curve sags once again today (2 year yields up, long-term yields down). Japanese bond yields have popped on,…

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QE; the Beat Goes On

The BoE, in battling the fallout from Brexit (a decelerating economy), has dropped rates to .25%.  Bond markets cheer, with US yields dropping (bonds up) and global bonds rising.  From…

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A Look at US Yields

Amid the ongoing 'crashing interest rates!' hysterics, NFTRH 403 noted the following about the 2 year yield... "US 2 year yields are at the trend line. Be careful here in…

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Which Thing is Right on Interest Rates?

I own Thing 2 (XLU) from an NFTRH+ update, but took profit (and dividends) on its running mate, TLT.  TLT is the 'long bond' iShares and it is roughly inverse…

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