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Market Indicators

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Read more about the article Gold/Silver Ratio: “slowly I toin”
Market Indicators / Notable Public Posts / Precious Metals / Public

Gold/Silver Ratio: “slowly I toin”

The Gold/Silver ratio reversed from down to up on Friday, a 'tell' of sorts Gold/Silver ratio (in its Brooklyn accent): "Slowly I toin... step by step..." I shorted silver on…

Comments Off on Gold/Silver Ratio: “slowly I toin”
October 2, 2023
Read more about the article Bullish Pivot or Destruction Ahead
Inflation & Deflation / Market Indicators / Notable Public Posts / Public

Bullish Pivot or Destruction Ahead

Using three vantage points, the US dollar, the Gold/Silver ratio and the 10yr-2yr Yield Curve, broad markets are indicated to be at an important decision point There sure are a…

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September 29, 2023
yield curve
Market Indicators / Monetary Policy / Public

Yield Curve Stair Stepping a Steepener

The 10yr-2yr yield curve is grinding out a would-be steepener after the secondary extreme inversion The yield curve is pulling back currently as the Wizard has resumed complete control. Jerome…

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August 28, 2023
Read more about the article A Reminder From the 3 Month T-bill and 2 yr Yield
3 month t-bill yield
Market Indicators / Public

A Reminder From the 3 Month T-bill and 2 yr Yield

The 3 month T-bill yield is still excessively divergent from the 2 year Treasury yield If the history of this chart holds true that means that despite whatever bullish fun…

2 Comments
July 21, 2023
Read more about the article After the Yield Curve inversion; bear market rally to end, precious metals to bottom
Gold / Market Indicators / Notable Public Posts / Public / Stock Market, US

After the Yield Curve inversion; bear market rally to end, precious metals to bottom

As the 10yr-2yr yield curve inversion plays out, the time is coming for a turn in fortunes Before proceeding, I'd like to remind you that this article is not written…

2 Comments
June 23, 2023
copper/gold ratio
Commodities / Gold / Market Indicators / Notable Public Posts / Public

Copper/Gold ratio confirming favored macro view

The Copper/Gold ratio continues its breakdown As if on cue to what NFTRH 754 had to say last weekend: However, I am most interested in copper for its signaling vs.…

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April 25, 2023
Read more about the article New audio/video: SPX and some risk indicators; pleasure then pain
Market Indicators / Notable Public Posts / Public / Video

New audio/video: SPX and some risk indicators; pleasure then pain

The S&P 500 (weekly, log scale) and a few of its risk indicators Progressing along and gaining a comfort level with this medium, here is the latest macro blurb to…

9 Comments
March 23, 2023
high yield spread, one of the important macro market signals.
Market Indicators / Public

Two macro market signals positive… for now

Excerpted from this week's edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 747, a look at two currently positive macro market signals. When they turn it will be time for…

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March 6, 2023
Read more about the article Current state of the 30 year Treasury bond yield ‘Continuum’
Bonds / Market Indicators / Public

Current state of the 30 year Treasury bond yield ‘Continuum’

The 30 year Treasury bond yield is declining toward support #1 The 30 year Treasury yield (monthly chart) is flagging downward as expected after it poked through our 4% target…

2 Comments
February 9, 2023
Read more about the article As the Gold price gets hammered…
Gold / Market Indicators / Notable Public Posts / Public

As the Gold price gets hammered…

The gold price is getting hammered, but its ratios generally are not... And that means something. Using the associated ETFs... Gold price adjusted by the silver price: not hammered. Gold/Silver…

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February 3, 2023
2 year treasury bond yield and 3 month T-bill yield
Interest Rates / Market Indicators / Public

If you’re a nerd, you find this amazing

2 year Treasury bond yield continues to diverge T-bills Well, this nerd is amazed by it (and several other out of whack macro indicators), at least. The 3 month T-bill…

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January 26, 2023
2 year treasury bond yield, S&P 500 and 3 month T-bill yield
Financial Markets / Market Indicators / Public

Putting the 2 year Treasury bond yield in context

The 2 year Treasury bond yield, T-bill and S&P 500 beg multiple interpretations I called the 2 year Treasury bond yield the most important chart in the world the other…

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January 11, 2023
5 year breakeven inflation rate
Inflation & Deflation / Market Indicators / Public

5 to 30 year ‘Breakeven Inflation Rates’ paint a different picture than RINF

'Inflation expectations' ETF out of phase with most 'Inflation Breakevens' Here is what RINF does, per its creator... ProShares Inflation Expectations ETF seeks investment results, before fees and expenses, that…

4 Comments
October 24, 2022
Read more about the article 10-2yr Yield Curve: a hint
Interest Rates / Market Indicators / Public

10-2yr Yield Curve: a hint

The 10yr-2yr Yield Curve is hinting to steepen A hint sure is not a trend change. But a hint is a hint that is still in play. If the spread…

4 Comments
October 24, 2022
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