NFTRH+; 2 more gaps
Yesterday SPX filled the gap we've had on radar for months. But there is another daily gap at 3330. Now that a bear market is likely in progress we can't…
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May 10, 2022
Commodity currencies must stand and deliver, or break down
CAD and AUD are each at important support vs. the US dollar index There are just too many important support touch points on CAD/USD for this not to be a…
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May 10, 2022
NFTRH+; this remains at a potential resistance area
Just an FYI companion to the general market relief bounce theme. USD is is the counter-party to bearish markets and is still at the long-term resistance zone. Doesn't need to…
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May 9, 2022
NFTRH+; final gap filled
Just an FYI that SPX has joined its fellows NDX & SOX in filling its daily chart gap we've had on radar for the last several months. What comes of…
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May 9, 2022
New trend being set on the 10-2yr Yield Curve
Yield curve steepening, but there's more to the story The yield curve can steepen under inflationary pressure (e.g. 2020) or deflationary pressure (e.g. 2008). The most recent steepener was inflationary.…
May 9, 2022
Not inflation friendly
A few inflation unfriendly pictures while everyone huddles on that side of the boat I don't know. Maybe they've obsoleted contrarian theory. Cancel culture and all. But just in case…
May 9, 2022
NFTRH+; the other side of the bond market
In NFTRH 704 we reviewed the shortest end, where the 2 year Treasury yield is nearing its decision point, whereby a continued rise in yields would indicate a bear market…
May 9, 2022
NFTRH 704, out now
It's a bear market in stocks. Captain Obvious speaks. But there are potentials within that. Potential for a dispiriting crash, potential for a confounding rally and potential for a moderate…
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May 8, 2022
Copper, copper miners and the Gold/Silver ratio
Copper and copper miners breaking bad I looked at FCX and thought about buying it as it got dropped to a higher low at the SMA 200. Today it has…
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May 6, 2022
New Curve steepener still inflationary (duh)
Yield curve steepens again, under inflationary pressure Look, if we are going to kill the hysteria of the day it is not going to be killed in a day. It…
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May 6, 2022
Payrolls +428,000
April Payrolls increase by 428,000 You can get all the details of yet another strong BLS report by clicking the blurb: Drilling into it we find Leisure and Hospitality leading…
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May 6, 2022
The Continuum; center stage during next week’s inflation data fest
The 30yr Treasury yield takes center stage as inflation data come in With next week's inflation data orgy we may find out if this chart is truly on its way…
May 5, 2022
April ISM and the forward economic view
ISM hints at forward deceleration Uncle Buck As a former manufacturing guy I am well aware of how monetary policy and the state of the US dollar affects US manufacturers.…
May 5, 2022
FOMC, hot off the press
With CME, you and me all expecting .5% hike that's a given. The wording will be interesting, but we all know the bond market is forcing them to do what…
May 4, 2022
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