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  • Notes From the Rabbit Hole
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yield curve

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Read more about the article 10-2yr Yield Curve Updated
Economy / Notable Public Posts / Public

10-2yr Yield Curve Updated

Still inverted, the yield curve is in countdown mode My daughter, who is taking an increasing interest in the economy now that she's out of school, working and trying to…

Comments Off on 10-2yr Yield Curve Updated
June 3, 2024
Read more about the article Why Are Gold and Commodities Positive Amid Rising Long-term Yields?
Gold / Inflation & Deflation / Market Indicators / Public

Why Are Gold and Commodities Positive Amid Rising Long-term Yields?

Why are gold and commodities up and stocks under pressure as long-term interest rates rise? Because, this... The 10-2 yield curve is threatening to resume steepening. The uplift from the…

Comments Off on Why Are Gold and Commodities Positive Amid Rising Long-term Yields?
April 2, 2024
nftrh plus
NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; Inflation Signals & Yield Curve Doing as Expected But Thus Far No ‘Inflation Trade’

In the last few weeks we have been allowing for, even anticipating a renewed bout of inflation concerns as the yield curve (10-2) steepens, nominal yields had dropped significantly to…

3 Comments
February 5, 2024
Yield curve steepener
Inflation & Deflation / Market Indicators / Public

Yield Curve Steepener Thus Far Inflationary

The new Yield Curve steepener has not yet un-inverted, but it's in progress and thus far mildly inflationary Reference Inflationary Yield Curve Steepening? from January 11. In my opinion, after…

2 Comments
January 25, 2024
Read more about the article Bond Market, Gold, Yield Curve and the Changes to Come
Bonds / Bubbles / Gold / Inflation & Deflation / Market Indicators / NFTRH / Notable Public Posts / Public

Bond Market, Gold, Yield Curve and the Changes to Come

Below is the opening segment of this week's edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 792 Bond Market, Gold, Yield Curve and the Changes to Come While it is…

3 Comments
January 15, 2024
Read more about the article Inflationary Yield Curve Steepening?
Inflation & Deflation / Market Indicators / Notable Public Posts / Public

Inflationary Yield Curve Steepening?

After a gentle disinflationary easing (Goldilocks), the bond market is hinting at an inflationary steepening of the 10yr-2yr yield curve A yield curve can steepen under inflationary or deflationary pressure.…

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January 11, 2024
Read more about the article Stock Market Melt Up Continues as Anticipated, Gold Lurks, Changes to Come in 2024
Gold / Notable Public Posts / Public / Stock Market

Stock Market Melt Up Continues as Anticipated, Gold Lurks, Changes to Come in 2024

The macro market backdrop is not likely to go the way trend following market watchers currently anticipate In fact, with patience it could turn out to be like shooting contrary…

4 Comments
December 27, 2023
Read more about the article Pro-Gold Yield Curve Steepener Continues
Gold / Interest Rates / Market Indicators / Notable Public Posts / Public

Pro-Gold Yield Curve Steepener Continues

10yr-2yr yield curve steepener continues after secondary extreme inversion; gold holds steady Many have questioned why the gold price has failed to do the normal thing (decline significantly) in the…

2 Comments
October 19, 2023
nftrh plus
NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; This Macro Indicator is Changing Trend

The 10yr/2yr yield curve has made a higher high to the spring high after making a secondary extreme inversion in July. Our plan is that the secondary inversion was a…

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October 4, 2023
Read more about the article Bullish Pivot or Destruction Ahead
Inflation & Deflation / Market Indicators / Notable Public Posts / Public

Bullish Pivot or Destruction Ahead

Using three vantage points, the US dollar, the Gold/Silver ratio and the 10yr-2yr Yield Curve, broad markets are indicated to be at an important decision point There sure are a…

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September 29, 2023
yield curve
Market Indicators / Monetary Policy / Public

Yield Curve Stair Stepping a Steepener

The 10yr-2yr yield curve is grinding out a would-be steepener after the secondary extreme inversion The yield curve is pulling back currently as the Wizard has resumed complete control. Jerome…

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August 28, 2023
nftrh plus
NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; Steepener & its Implication for One Sector

A short and simple update this morning. The 10yr-2yr yield curve is ticking a new high off of what I believe is secondary extreme inversion to the one from March.…

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August 17, 2023
nftrh plus
NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; A Gold Market Fundamental That is Likely Turning

Yesterday we reviewed still-cautionary signals. Today, let's check out an important one that may be turning positive for gold. Here is the 10yr-2yr yield curve, still inverted within its flattening…

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August 10, 2023
nftrh plus
NFTRH Interim Updates / NFTRH+

NFTRH+; An Important Market Signal As USD Does its Thing [w/ edit]

[edit] I am doing some selling, regardless of what USD is doing. If items held start to look suspect in their own right, or do not fit the balance I…

11 Comments
August 2, 2023
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