Yield Curve Today
Okay, everybody to the other side of the boat! Risk goes off today in the casino as all durations drop and the curve rises. Thank you Doctor Bernankestein for the…
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December 12, 2014
Yield Curve (so far) Today
Here is the state of the US Yield Curve during a pre-open with deflation in the air and global markets upset. The curve is rising this morning as yields drop. …
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December 9, 2014
Yield Spreads Still Declining
Today the 10, 5 & 2 is dropping again as yields on the long end decline and the short end rises. Below is the state of the 10 vs. 2…
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December 8, 2014
Yield Curve Today
As surmised in the subscriber update posted just after the 'Jobs' report, jitters about interest rate hikes are bubbling to the surface in the T bond market. This may also…
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December 5, 2014
Yield Curve Today
The status for today's 'in a vacuum' view is that risk is still 'ON' with yields rising (bonds dropping) and short-term yields rising more, meaning players are not seeking out…
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December 3, 2014
Yield Curve Today
The 10-5-2 spread is rising with nominal yields reversing to up. A little risk off'y to go with junk bonds, which are quite risk off'y. For reference, here is the…
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December 1, 2014
10-2 Yield Curve w/ Gold
Here is the big picture view of the 10yr-2yr Treasury yield spread with gold shaded in the background. People who successfully get through this bear market in gold will have…
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December 1, 2014
Yield Curve Today
It's in a risk 'OFF' alignment with all durations dropping but the curve rising. Meanwhile, here's the chart of the 30 vs. the 5 year spread. Obviously risk is…
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November 28, 2014
Yield Curve Today
Today the curve is dropping with nominal yields rising. Implication (taking one singular day as a stand-alone)? Anti-gold and pro-risk 'ON'... among other things. Hey, that's what it says today...…
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November 19, 2014
Yield Curve Today
The 10, 5 and 2 year spreads are aligned with the curve rising and nominal yields declining today. That is theoretically a pro-gold and risk '0FF' alignment. Somebody forgot to…
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November 13, 2014
Yield Curve Today
Yields spreads from 10 to 5 to 2 years are declining, while nominal yields rise. In other words, there is nothing risk OFF'ish about this in the least and liquidity…
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November 3, 2014
Yield Curve Today
The market may be a little jumpy today but whirring beneath the surface here on Fed hype day, the 10 vs. 2 year yield curve is looking risk 'ON' ish. …
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October 29, 2014
NFTRH; Yield Curve and Gold
The latest data from Bloomberg shows yields declining in gold’s favor today as the short end (2’s & 5’s) drop in yield faster than the long end. That is a bump up in the curve.
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May 13, 2014
Is the Yield Curve Really Flattening?
There is a lot of talk now about a flattening of the yield curve. This talk has been among the most intense right here at the website you are reading at this moment. A flattening curve is commonly viewed as bad for gold, and according to Mark Hulbert, is an indicator of a coming recession.
Why you should care about the yield curve
But is the curve really flattening or is this all hype based on Janet Yellen’s press conference comments? Here is a chart the likes of which we have been using in NFTRH for many months now, the 30 year vs. the 5 year yield.
MarketWatch shows a similar chart in its article…
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March 26, 2014