3 Amigos (SPX/Gold, Long-term Yields & Yield Curve) Updated w/ edit
It has been a while since we've had a 3 Amigos update because a) Italy and global tariffs noise aside, nothing much has changed with the macro and b) I…
Previous articles and posts of interest.
It has been a while since we've had a 3 Amigos update because a) Italy and global tariffs noise aside, nothing much has changed with the macro and b) I…
Following is the opening segment of this week's edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 504. For months now we have been tracking a divergence in the key cyclical…
I am sure you remember the lead up to Q1 2016. The US economy and stock market were transitioning from a Goldilocks environment and narrowly avoiding a bear market while…
Agree 100%, Charlie. See: Buy in May and Stay Invested Now, I am not of that ilk personally. My closely held biases are that a) the market's cycles can be…
I'll try to keep things simple with this recap of the 3 of the 5 major food groups (leaving aside commodities and currencies) for investors. No confusing you today with…
In light of earnings reactions in the Semiconductor Equipment sector, it's time for an update of a theme we have had in play since November, 2017 The canary is no…
With gold testing its 200 day moving average this morning I thought I'd reproduce the first part of the precious metals segment from week's Notes From the Rabbit Hole (NFTRH…
Yields are up, bonds down again pre-US open, per Investing.com's graphic... This goes in line with inflationary signaling on the macro. Yesterday was an impulsive one for the 'inflation trade'…
Well, a speculated upon 'M' rally may or may not be starting today, but NFTRH 494 fleshed out this scenario on the way to completing a comprehensive report across all…
I want to begin this post by again noting publicly that feel like I clowned myself yesterday in my own trading and in my lack of attention to the market…
It has in the past been "the financial crisis", "the Euro crisis", "Greek debt", "Italian banks", "the fiscal cliff", "Brexit" and so on. Every one of those events an extension…
This morning's post highlighting Jim Grant's bond market/interest rate views (by way of Heisenberg) prompts me to reproduce publicly NFTRH 490's short bond segment. I may be known as the…
So how long ago did we begin seriously entertaining higher long-term Treasury yields? Well, per these posts, it was before Halloween that we noted the daily chart breakouts and began…
The following is an excerpt from this week's edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 488. For NFTRH bonds are not just an asset class 'throw-in' but instead are…