Notable Public Posts

Notable Public Posts / Stock Market, US

How Low Could the S&P 500 Go?

Our target for the first half of 2019 is and has been the 2100 to 2200 area for the S&P 500. A friend asked... I've been meaning to ask (and…

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December 13, 2018

Gold Stocks / Notable Public Posts

Gold Stocks Acting as they Should During Market Stress

The macro has moved through a time of moderately rising inflationary concerns when economies were cycling up, many commodities were firm and risk was 'on'. Contrary to the views of…

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December 7, 2018

Market Indicators / Notable Public Posts

“Harbinger of Doom”: Amigo 3 in Play, But Real Doom Awaits

"The Harbinger of Doom"? Of course we (well, the media) are talking about the yield curve AKA Amigo #3 of our 3 happy-go-lucky riders of the macro. I have annoyed…

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December 5, 2018

Gold Stocks / Notable Public Posts

Thanksgiving for Proper Gold Stock Fundamentals

[edit] See also Among the Crickets, Gold Bears Roam a Barren Landscape, posted on 11.23.18. All through the bear market hopeful rationalizations were served up for a bullish case on…

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November 21, 2018

Commodities / Economy / Gold Stocks / Notable Public Posts

Cyclical Commodities Continue to Weaken, Gold Moves in Relation

[edit] Also see this post on inflation/deflation excerpted from NFTRH 525, hot off the presses. Crude Oil and Industrial Metals continue downward. This is significant per this NFTRH monthly chart…

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November 9, 2018

Commodities / Gold Stocks / Notable Public Posts

Positive Implications for Gold Miners if Crude Oil Breaks Down

It's an over obsessed upon commodity, previously hyped for its (Hubbert's) "peak" status by "experts" like T Boone Pickens and a whole clown show of promoters amplified by the media…

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November 2, 2018

Bonds / Notable Public Posts

Treasury Bonds and the Fed

Excerpted from the Market Internals segment of this week's Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 522. The segment focused on the bond market and its macro signaling this week. There…

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October 21, 2018

Market Indicators / Notable Public Posts

SPX/Gold, 30yr Yields & Yield Curve – Amigos 1, 2 & 3 Updated

We began the Amigos theme last year in order to be guided by the goofy riders during the ending stages of a cyclical, risk-on phase that was not going to…

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October 19, 2018

Gold Stocks / Notable Public Posts

Looks Who’s Holding Firm Amid the Carnage; the Gold Miners

Here is GDX holding the parameter we laid out for it in a subscriber update on Oct. 8. Today GDX is declining back to a test of the support zone…

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October 10, 2018

Bonds / Notable Public Posts

Bond Bears Next to Get Clobbered?

Stock market bulls are getting dope hammered and that may be just what the contrary bullish * Treasury bond market needs. Here we reside, above the Continuum's ™ limiter. Everybody…

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October 10, 2018

Interest Rates / Market Indicators / Notable Public Posts

Yield Curve Status

The flattening yield curve has attended the boom in the US economy and the bull in the US stock market. A change in the flattening status will change the dynamics…

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October 5, 2018

Market Indicators / Notable Public Posts

SPX/Gold Ratio, Long-term Yields & Yield Curve (3 Amigos Updated)

It has been a long while since the last Amigos update because frankly if the characters, images and shticks I invent to portray market status begin to wear on me…

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October 4, 2018

Bonds / Interest Rates / Notable Public Posts

Here We Go… 30yr Yield Continuum Front & Center

Here is the thing everyone is talking about; a spike in long-term yields to the highest point yet. This chart - if you want to apply chart patterns to interest…

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October 3, 2018

NFTRH / Notable Public Posts

NFTRH 518 Excerpt: NFTRH+ Charts & Notes

My favorite segment to write is the one near the end of the report, after all nerd stuff is finished and we informally (brief notes) look at stock charts from…

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September 28, 2018