Long-term Treasury yields are rising this week within their intact daily uptrends. Bearing in mind that we are in the midst of a silly season, where I don't think market…
The 30 year Treasury bond yield (Continuum) is 100% on the NFTRH plan The plan was set in motion when first the the 30 year Treasury yield (TYX) took out…
A snapshot of the 10-2yr yield curve this morning as long-term rates appear to be blowing off to the upside and short-term rates drop. In other words, bonds are getting…
FOMC will raise the funds rate by .75% on November 2 So says CME Group... And so says the bond market... ...as the Continuum spikes to and through our target…
"Post-bubble contraction" (PBC) as coined by Bob Hoye, may finally be at hand Bob Hoye has been talking about a coming post-bubble contraction (PBC) for many years, in my experience.…
From subscriber Michael, who cannot comment on protected posts due to a glitch caused by the interaction between his and my Wordpress accounts... Sorry, I still can't post on protected...this…
Nothing is set in stone, including the 30yr yield stopping at our 4% upside target. That said, if you're going to have targets and chart based road maps, it's best…
The inflation hysteria - despite the actual mechanics of inflation, like True Money Supply and Fed policy that bloated it - are in the rear view mirror. What is so…
Commodities and inflation expectations have/had been rising right along with the long bond's yield But some of the 30 year Treasury yield's fellows are dropping off, just as the hawking…
Hot inflation is still in the news! You can click the image if you'd like to read the hype. CME Group was and still is overwhelmingly projecting a .75% rate…
An unexpected commitment has popped up this weekend and so this week's report is posted online in a format that is easier for me to manage, time-wise. It will be…
The T-bill yield continues to ramp upward as inflation expectations pull back The 3 month T-bill yield (green) had been one of our guides demanding that the Fed get its…
The Fed Funds rate has caught up to the 3 month T-bill yield, but the 2 year yield lurks above You can see that the Fed closed the gap as…