Using the most representative or notable index/ETF for each segment, let's update the general status for a range of items (U.S. and global stocks, T bonds, commodities and gold) with…
A couple weeks ago in NFTRH 434 we introduced this chart, representing some of the more counter-cyclical items vs. the S&P 500 (SPY). I already own some gold miners and…
Wow, what a stock! Okay, wait a minute; it's a cash equivalent in the form of very short-term Treasury Bills, and has only risen from 109.80 to 110.37. But it's…
Look at these bedfellows that are sleeping together in a sign that all does not feel well with the market, post-inauguration. TIP-TLT is in a weird, toppy looking short-term pattern. …
From last night's update: With a failure, I’ll try to go net short or simply sidelines. With a breakout, net long. All the while, until the correction is broken to…
Not being a casino patron I don't go to casinos and I don't often look at or care about Forex. But USD/JPY is special, because of its recent and current…
What I mean by "Bounce" is not necessarily in the stock market, which is a candidate for one. But in the inflation story. Per the post on T bonds and…
The Banks (BKX) have been leading the broad US stock market (SPX) down into this bumpy ride as T bond yields tank ever further. While the intermediate picture features varying…
Junk bond fund HYG is breaking below the 50 and 200 day moving averages. HYG in relation to long-term Treasury bonds never did break above the moving averages and you…
Over in bond land where so many good market indicators live, we have a strange situation with the generally risk 'OFF' TLT (long-term Treasury) consolidating right along with the very…
In the current policy and media stoked market environment, anything is possible. It’s the wonderful, magical world of hands-on policy making. 5 years after the financial crisis, but still not enjoying a ramping economy like the good old (and long gone) days of the last great secular bull market (RIP 2000)? Just sit back, relax and let the man in charge control the image.
Here is what the US Fed did to the currency it is supposedly a steward of yesterday. The USD plunged below an important support level. If this breakdown holds below 80.50, it measures to the mid-70’s. Enter an ‘inflation trade’, in which we’d look to fan out from the precious metals and include other commodity and global stock items.