Looking at iShares bonds funds from 20+ year on down to 1 year, you can see that the bleeding is trying to stop today, and it really should stop around…
Junk bond ETF outperforms both Treasury and 'investment grade' (IG) bonds As would be expected, nominal junk (HYG) is pretty bearish along with the rest of cyclical/risk 'on' markets. It's…
The US dollar broke above resistance at the 2016 high (not shown on this daily chart), dropped back to test the SMA 50, popped back above resistance, faded to test…
Amid hysterical inflation headlines, Treasury bonds remain firm Of course, inflation is yesterday's news. That was the news that bonds had been reporting since mid-2020 when yields bottomed and turned…
10 and 30 year Treasury yields break consolidation We had an NFTRH update yesterday discussing the implications of a consolidation breakout in long-term Treasury bond yields, as was hinted at…
The Fed, like the rest of us, is being directed by markets As shown in yesterday's post the Fed is being directed in large part by the 2yr Treasury yield,…
The September-October stock market correction is thus far normal It's normal that... After a summer of excessive risk taking and speculation the stock market would take a correction in September…
The Continuum continues to form its right inverted shoulder In the spring the NFTRH plan was for a "summer cool down" in inflation expectations and the inflation trades. This after…
Long-term Treasury bond fund TLT is on an attempted breakout of its own. Ref. the previous update showing the Energy sector trying to do something similar. It's a super interesting…
We had projected some issues for gold when a short-term top developed for long-term Treasury bonds due to the bound at the hip relationship between the two risk 'off' vehicles…
Have you heard the news? US Treasury bonds are sky rocketing as it turns out there is no inflation amid a global central bank NIRP-a-thon and race to the currency…
I searched for a live yield curve chart and could not find the curve as we usually view it, which is the 10yr-2yr available on a 1 day delay at…
From NFTRH 537's Market Internals segment... "Who's leading you astray, nominal Junk or its hidden bearish indicators?" Junk has since made a new high. Whee, party on Garth! Junk/Investment Grade…
A couple of subscribers inquired about long-term bonds/yields as there was not much information about it in NFTRH 524. I want to remind subscribers that much of the public content…