Well, talk about crosscurrents. Job growth really took a hit. The services stuff is still creating the jobs but the whole lagging mess dropped off in May (with unemployment actually…
A fairly level ISM RoB for May. I've highlighted a couple notables. New orders are healthy and price creep is in effect, which would dovetail with our would-be Semiconductor related…
Following is the opening segment from the May 29 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 397: If we are going to highlight improving fundamentals, which we did as…
Our doggie (Spike) back from his adventure, it was time to settle in and write a good, comprehensive report on the financial markets. So I did; 40 clear and actionable…
Any questions? SEMI's April Book-to-Bill... Very much in line with the AMAT quarterly Chirp, SEMI notes 3D NAND as a driver, along with China. The implications, folks, are going to…
Another NFTRH 396 excerpt, not for publication elsewhere. It is a companion to the discussion about the Semiconductor sector and the economy as well as other economic discussion that took…
The following is the opening segment of this week's Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 396. The report also covers, in detail, the technical status of US/Global stock markets, precious…
Okay, I'm pooped. No promo. :-( [edit] Well yes, there is a promo. It's from subscriber Joe F: "So fucking good." Subscribe to NFTRH Premium for your 25-35 page weekly…
Referencing one of our main themes for the last half a year, the case for the gold sector is supported by the case for economic deceleration. It is not supported by inflation, as in the recent bounce in inflation expectations as the US dollar declined.
The gold sector often rises with inflation expectations as silver out performs gold and so do commodities. But the gold sector’s fundamentals are fed by counter-cyclical activity and today’s payrolls report was right in line with that. In the ‘pullback’ update on Wednesday we also noted that the ‘gold ratio’ macro indicators remained positive as well…
We noted the NDX/SOX roadmap in a post on Wednesday using weekly charts. SOX daily is doing something not very nice at the open. The Semis are a leader for…
The US is in the midst of one (Bloomberg) It's another piece talking about this "most hated bull market of all time". So many bull wiseguys highlight this while soft…
Today's economic data have moved the needle back a bit toward 'no change' to the Fed's dovish stance. The March Durable Goods figure was .8% vs 2% expected and even…
The Machine Tool industry had a bump at the end of the year, which we set our watches by every December. But it was very moderate. Now as of February,…
Last week when I was not doing my own market positioning or writing subscriber updates, I was bringing Biiwii back to life, so on Friday I skipped the entirety of…