Inside Jobs; Gold Fundamentals Boosted

+151,000... it's not a very good number and so the theme introduced yesterday, of wobbling manufacturing and a potentially wobbling economy, continues. Here is a breakdown, with the usual suspects…

Comments Off on Inside Jobs; Gold Fundamentals Boosted

Semi Equipment Company, AMAT: Record Earnings

While some might want us to focus solely on the big layoff at Cisco, why don't we stay with what is actually happening.  What is actually happening is that there…

Comments Off on Semi Equipment Company, AMAT: Record Earnings

NFTRH 408 Out Now

Once again, no energy left or inclination for promo (and no Roxy Music video either).  After battling this thing all weekend I headed out to the high school track to…

Comments Off on NFTRH 408 Out Now

NFTRH; Market Post-Payrolls

The market had been in a consolidation/mini correction as we have been noting.

Gold is getting clobbered as it should.  Let’s please keep it real, because a lot of gold bugs are not going to.  The case for gold, silver and commodities rests on an inflationary phase, which strong jobs and wages would indicate out ahead.  But for now, the hit to the precious metals is logical.

(more…)

Comments Off on NFTRH; Market Post-Payrolls

Payrolls +255k, World Still Not Ending

Our thesis has been that Brexit may have put the final (!) on deflation and the bear phase that had been in effect since late 2014.  That view was held…

Comments Off on Payrolls +255k, World Still Not Ending

NFTRH 405 Out Now

A funny thing happened on the journey through this week's sentiment analysis.  First, the Semi sector, which as I recall we were among the few to be publicly bullish on,…

Comments Off on NFTRH 405 Out Now

Semi Equipment Book-to-Bill for June

For those who don't watch this stuff as obsessively as I do, here's the June Semi.org b2b data.  Oh no, b2b dropped and so did bookings! As an economic indicator…

Comments Off on Semi Equipment Book-to-Bill for June

Semi Optimistic

[edit]  Subscriber Joe advises that Hickey says the b2b is a lagging indicator.  But I assume he means vs. Capex from the likes of Intel, etc.  I am using b2b…

Comments Off on Semi Optimistic

June Payrolls +287,000… Surprised?

From BLS:  Employment Situation Summary "Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 287,000 in June, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today.…

Comments Off on June Payrolls +287,000… Surprised?

Meanwhile, ‘Push’ Inflation Brews in US?

The ISM RoB continues on our theme of inflationary growth, as first indicated in the Semiconductor Equipment sector while everyone was freaking out about the backward looking employment situation.  Full…

Comments Off on Meanwhile, ‘Push’ Inflation Brews in US?