Government and Services continue to rudder the Good Ship Lollipop in the direction of Q4, Hazel's grotesque and winning smile intact (wave to the nice people, Hazel!) Here is the…
Jim Cramer micromanages the bond market and Fed Funds for you Jim Cramer wants you to know that Tuesday's supposedly poor market action prior to its in-day upward reversal was…
Still inverted, the yield curve is in countdown mode My daughter, who is taking an increasing interest in the economy now that she's out of school, working and trying to…
As inflation signals moderate and Goldilocks gets pumped, gold is forecasting something more virulent for Q4 - H1, 2025 While this is not an article about gold mining, it is…
April Payrolls Report from BLS Here is the BLS April Payrolls report (click graphic): It's the first weak report in a while and as you can see, Hazel is hanging…
Stagflation is indicated by two economic conditions: Decelerating Q1 GDP Report and persistent inflationary effects Let's also realize that the economy is decelerating in its headline number despite all that…
March Payrolls continues the string of out-performance; let's check the details March Payrolls (click image for BLS report): Needless to say, someone is perma-happy. Now for the details. If it…
Because of course February Payrolls beat expectations! Good Ship Lollipop on course... February Payrolls checked in at +275,000 to handily beat expectations, while the unemployment rate ticked up a teeny.…
NFTRH 799's opening segment illustrating unsustainable debt leverage Below is an exercise that considers real economic/macro/market indicators and one writer's view of what is in play this election year. I…
January Payrolls boomed, services do the heavy lifting I was at a doctor's appointment when the drama unfolded. It was probably for the best, because I for one have been…
December payrolls rose by 216,000 vs. estimates of 180,000 As usual you can click the graphic for the full report. In the full report you will find a certain someone…
The seasonal party continues but, danger is ahead The strategy of how to navigate what is ahead has been generally covered in NFTRH and with post-FOMC clarity, it is being…
The anticipated "Goldilocks" disinflation continues and the media thinks it will last What do you think? Do you think Contrary Cramer will finally be right about something this time? Today…
November Payrolls rise a bit more than expected (+199k vs. +190k) Here is the report from BLS (click graphic). "Job gains occurred in healthcare and government." Why of course they…