CPI on tap [w/ edit]
CPI will show inflation, but at what rate? [edit] You can view the CPI report here by clicking the graphic... This morning's CPI release is much anticipated by your trusty…
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May 11, 2022
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Payrolls +428,000
April Payrolls increase by 428,000 You can get all the details of yet another strong BLS report by clicking the blurb: Drilling into it we find Leisure and Hospitality leading…
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May 6, 2022
Payrolls: Good news! Bad news! +467K
January payrolls +467,000, despite Omicron (which was so Q4 2021) In. The. Bag. Omicron always was going to come down as rapidly as it spiked up. Anyway, January payrolls blew…
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February 4, 2022
The Capital Sponge
The Capital Sponge Thank you to a subscriber for sending this along. The Capital Sponge by Lyn Alden I used to write about stuff like this in the 2004-2008 time…
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January 17, 2022
Payrolls +230k, a ‘disappointment’
November Payrolls +230,000 vs. 573,000 estimate Of course, it's all about the Fed, eh? With a side order of Omicron. Click the graphic below, get the report from BLS that…
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December 3, 2021
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When the tight economic rope slackens [w/ edit]
[edit] Upon completing the article I realized that no forward look at the economy and financial markets from an inflationary/deflationary point of view would be complete without consideration of the Yield…
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September 24, 2021
Semi sector flashes a moderate warning
The Semiconductor sector has an internal warning... As if the economic cycle and thus the stock market did not have enough internal problems (e.g. the CESI divergence to the S&P…
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September 9, 2021
BLS: Jobs +235k, way below expectations
August Payrolls disappoints at 235,000; one sector would benefit So I guess that the Citi Economic Surprise Index per yesterday's post is more concerning still, as analysts expecting +720,000 new…
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September 3, 2021
CESI: Surprise!
Citi Economic Surprise Index continues to flash a stark warning Not that it has mattered (as with other bubble indicators) but the CESI is and has been guiding the S&P…
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September 2, 2021
Jobs, hot off the press… +943k
July payrolls from BLS: +943k Click image, get report... The number is a little more than what the media says the markets expected, but all in all not a surprise.…
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August 6, 2021
May Payrolls, the Good Ship Lollipop & USD
USD drops as a tepid May Payrolls report eases inflation fears further May payrolls expanded, but not as much as anticipated. Click graphic, get report from BLS. Here's the graphical…
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June 4, 2021
Inflation: Going Stag
Stagflation in the offing, unless it's not different this time... As corporations continue to raise wages, market participants fear the Fed is wrong about supposedly "transitory" inflation, long-term Treasury bond…
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May 13, 2021
Jobs +266K, Yields Pull Back
All in the service to playing a game of 'Hide the [inflationary] Cheese'... April’s expected hiring boom goes bust as nonfarm payroll gain falls well short of estimates Here's the…
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May 7, 2021
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