Inside January Payrolls

You can grab the entire report (if you have no life and have the time and inclination) by clicking this blurb... The Good Ship Lollipop sails onward on the winds…

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Mises Goes Mainstream, Calls Bull

I don't mind telling you that I tend to tune everybody out in favor of the market. That includes mainstream Wall Street types, perma-bulls, perma-bears, speed freaks & momos, doom…

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Payrolls +266k, the Details…

You can click this graphic for the detailed November Payrolls report from BLS. Here is where the heavy lifting came from. There is the usual onslaught of services jobs relative…

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ISM Continues to Fade

Here is the full ISM Report on Business if you'd like to check it out. Here are the concerning items I've marked up... Here are what some respondents have to…

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Philly Fed Bumps Up, With a Cost-Push Inflation Hint

It's just one region, but the Philly Fed's Manufacturing survey bumped up in its most recent reading. The thing I find most interesting is the expectation that manufacturers will be…

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Semi Sector Leads, Laggards Lag

The graphic shows you that the media have now, months later, caught up to the story. As we have been noting all year, Semi leads and Semi Equipment and Materials…

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Jobs +136,000 as the Good Ship Lollipop Sails On

According to those seers who are paid to usually be wrong, NFP would show +145,000 jobs after a fairly weak 130,000 last month. The employment situation is flat-lining. You can…

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ISM Breakdown

I guess the post's title could be taken a couple of different ways. But let's play it straight and break down the report from my former sector of the economy.…

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10yr Yields, CESI and the Run Up to FOMC

I could be wrong, but based on my recollection the wise guys were predicting even higher odds of a rate cut prior to this latest reading. I seem to recall…

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Looking Into the ISM Manufacturing Report

The PMI declined again in August and it was not just due to less important readings like Production or Deliveries. The key failures are highlighted. Backlogs grew for the period…

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Semi Bullish

On July 18th we had an NFTRH update (still pw protected) discussing the Semiconductor sector and secondarily, its implications for the gold sector. Those implications have to remain private for…

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June Payrolls +224k; Uncle Buck Jumps…

Who is surprised that Payrolls rebounded last month? I am not because this is a notoriously volatile economic data point and one bad month (May) does not a trend make.…

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