Payrolls… +313K, Higher Than Expected

I have got a very choppy day and a suspect internet connection, so let's let Anthony at Confounded Interest break out the details... Jobs Friday! 313K Jobs Added [Higher Than…

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Semi Bearish?

Over the last several years, beginning in 2013 I've made post titles like 'Semi Bullish' in response to the bullish leading edge economic cycle indicator, the Semiconductor Equipment sector and…

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Payrolls: Did Someone Say +200,000?

Ha ha ha, lucky guess per yesterday's 'playing it straight' article... Click the Bloomy headline for full details... The great swami also nailed the Average Hourly Earnings at in essence,…

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Economy and Inflation: Playing it Straight

[edit] With respect to my buzz phrases noted in the next paragraph, a wiseguy reminds me of my old target on HUI (888), AKA the "3 Snowmen". Wouldn't want to…

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Semi Canary Still Chirping, But He’s Gonna Croak in 2018

Since January 2013 we have been using the worldwide Semiconductor Equipment industry as a leader within the Semiconductor sector, which is an economic cyclical leader itself. That month we noted…

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Semi Bullish?

As an email from Bespoke entitled "Cyclical Indicators Soar" hits my inbox, I thought I'd update a cyclical indicator of another kind. You know, the friggin' cyclical indicator that preceded…

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Chirp Chirp, Chirp Chirp… Silence?

The canary chirped in 2013 as its equipment sector ramped up its bookings and we kept up with the bullish data every step of the way after that with updates…

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David Stockman Gives the MSM a Shot of Reality

It's worth your 8.75 minutes to listen to former Regan Budge Director David Stockman talk about the new corporate welfare bill and the trillions in additional impairment it will cause…

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Mutant Canaries Chirping in Semi Sector?

I am having trouble logging into Fidelity and thus managing my own affairs, so time is limited and this post contains no fundamental facts to back up the title other…

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ISM Fuels Near-term Inflation View

The headline is 58.7% (full report here) but I have highlighted in green the items that matter. New orders are brisk, along with employment. Inventories, backlogs and prices implying cost…

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Baltic Dry Index… Freak Show Here

Here we take a look at the BDI once again and marvel at its complex Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern with compound shoulders. Of course, that is a TA's way…

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What to Make of NFP -33,000?

Non Farm Payrolls printed a negative number for the first time since 2010. Of course the Hurricanes are in there to large degree but still, it's a worse number than…

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Recommended Reading: The Weakest Boom Ever

A lot of my work assumes that readers are already grounded in what makes the boom/bust economy go... and stop. In other words, if I'm talking bullish it means I'm…

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