NFTRH 492 Out Now
As I was searching for old articles in which I'd used the term gold vs. "human hopes for prosperity" (a theme coming back into play currently) I came across this…
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March 25, 2018
Bottom Testers Being Tested
We have been anticipating a test of the February lows and the SMA 200, and boy did it come like a freight train this week with Trump/China as an excuse…
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March 23, 2018
Amigo #1 Nearing a Wall of His Own
In February Amigo #2 braced for 10yr & 30yr yields to hit their limiters as noted by the black arrows. We noted that while this was a warning, no real…
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March 23, 2018
“Trade War”
It has in the past been "the financial crisis", "the Euro crisis", "Greek debt", "Italian banks", "the fiscal cliff", "Brexit" and so on. Every one of those events an extension…
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March 23, 2018
Why Pay Attention to Sector/Yield Relationships?
Because certain sectors like Materials, Industrials (both of which I am short) and Financials (why am I not short?) tend to benefit when bond yields are rising. Others, like the…
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March 22, 2018
‘Inflation Trade’ Balloon Gets Pricked
With reference to this morning's post, yields are dumping, US Treasury bonds are getting a risk 'off' bid and the stuff that has gotten the biggest inflation/reflation bid since the…
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March 22, 2018
One Day to the Next
So yesterday market participants were instigated by the media to get hysterical about interest rates. I saw a prominent headline talking about how a market expert (whose name escapes me)…
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March 22, 2018
“Timing the Consensus Fade”
Kevin Muir writes about something that I have found to be true all too often. You can be very right in your thesis and yet still endure the sands of…
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March 21, 2018
NFTRH: Metallic Cycle Indicators Updated
It is FOMC day with new Chairman Powell poised to deliver a rate hike and initial press conference (if I were him I'd talk a little hawk to establish a…
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March 21, 2018
Junk & Short Junk, Bearish & Bullish (daily charts)
HYG (junk bonds) has a bearish daily chart and so its evil twin, SJB (junk bond short fund) has a corresponding bullish daily chart. I own Thing 2 (having added…
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March 21, 2018
Not a Rented Mule
This MULE is reportedly getting bought by Salesforce at around a reported $6B. With all this "reported" yet unconfirmed talk I'll probably have to take the profit. Good news: I…
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March 20, 2018
NFTRH; Daily T/A on US/Global Stocks, Precious Metals & Commodities
Let's take a simple checkup on daily charts across several areas. Dow broke through the underside of a Symmetrical Triangle but until a lower low to the March 2 low…
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March 20, 2018
No Longer in the Waiting Place
We are now in the 'create a bear trap reversal or else... ' place for the Dow, which was the weakest of the 3 major indexes we reviewed while in…
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March 19, 2018
NDX & SOX Gaps Filling on Cue
Ref. the 2 previous looks at the 30 min. charts of NDX & SOX. Thing 1 & Thing 2 Here is the updated chart from those posts. Boink, these leaders…
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March 19, 2018
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