The view is and has been disinflation first, then a return of the inflationary macro Sometimes I feel as though I write the same public article over and over. But…
The near-term path is disinflationary, but the macro is now clearly inflationary With Treasury bonds firming up lately, it is time to review the game plan NFTRH has been working…
The 10yr/2yr yield curve is taking on a steepening bias Just a little report from beneath the market's surface. If you're like me and you want to know the macro…
With a bump up in inflation expectations over the last month, Treasury bonds have dropped, which is logical. If my analysis is to prove correct and the 30yr Treasury yield…
The anticipated "Goldilocks" disinflation continues and the media thinks it will last What do you think? Do you think Contrary Cramer will finally be right about something this time? Today…
The US Dollar made a lower low on Wednesday as the June CPI continued the disinflationary trend How long will he tilt at the inflationary windmill? A hawkish Fed has…
The Goldilocks Rally, led by Tech/Growth stocks, motors on [edit] No sooner was this posted than Q1 GDP was revised upward from 1.2% to 2%. It's stuff like that that…
Disinflation and inflation over the last few decades show that disinflationary signaling and inflationary actions have worked together to increase prices, drop buying power Exhibit A: The Continuum of gently…
Disinflation was led dutifully by the TSX-V/TSX ratio Back on June 21 we noted that the TSX-V/TSX ratio was negatively diverging inflation expectations. That is the ratio of Canada's speculative…