Gold Stocks (GDX); per Plan
Gold stocks approach NFTRH target; what's next? Hey, what do you think I am, a swami? I don't definitively know the answer to that. The guru or perma-bull down the…
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June 29, 2023
Public posts
Goldilocks Rally Intact [w/ edit]
The Goldilocks Rally, led by Tech/Growth stocks, motors on [edit] No sooner was this posted than Q1 GDP was revised upward from 1.2% to 2%. It's stuff like that that…
June 29, 2023
Admin note to NFTRH subscribers
It appears that a few recipients did not receive yesterday's report notification email. The email domains that appear to have been affected are yahoo.com, sympatico.ca and outlook.com. Some of the…
June 26, 2023
After the Yield Curve inversion; bear market rally to end, precious metals to bottom
As the 10yr-2yr yield curve inversion plays out, the time is coming for a turn in fortunes Before proceeding, I'd like to remind you that this article is not written…
June 23, 2023
CRB/Gold ratio will tell about inflation
The CRB/Gold ratio rose impulsively as it should have during a cyclical inflation problem that got out of the Fed's hands As noted in the previous post, the SPX/Gold ratio…
June 21, 2023
Stock Market (adjusted by gold): Real?
The stock market (SPX) as adjusted by gold was in a real bull market until 2000, was in a fake bull market during the times it rose from 2001 to…
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June 21, 2023
Chart Study: Dynavax stock (DVAX)
Dynavax stock (DVAX) heads upward after strange down move Dynavax stock (DVAX) is one I've held, traded and profited on repeatedly. It's my own pick, the product of some research,…
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June 14, 2023
A Fed rate pause, and then?
After a Fed rate pause (or "skip" as they're billing it) in June, July will be the key meeting As noted in yesterday's post, a Fed rate pause for June…
June 14, 2023
Inflation fading (on cue), goons up next
With inflation fading, FOMC preps its "decision" on the Fed Funds Rate With inflation fading as yesteryear's news, Goldilocks continues to hold sway. It's been a year now that this…
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June 13, 2023
T-bill yield guiding markets to liquidation
The 3 month T-bill yield continues to signal oncoming bear market Look, NFTRH projected the rally back in Q4, 2022. Therefore, this post is not coming from a perma-anything. It…
June 8, 2023
US manufacturing (ISM) is in a robotic decline
US manufacturing (ISM PMI) has dropped in sytematic, robotic fashion over the last 12 months From an index reading of 53% in June, 2022 to 47% today, the sector has…
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June 6, 2023
May Payrolls report illusion
May Payrolls report; not all it's cracked up to be On Friday we noted that the May Payrolls report was 'services' laden and late stage stuff. Early stage stuff like…
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June 5, 2023
May Payrolls report; a booming laggard
The May Payrolls report shows what else? Booming and laggard Services drives payrolls at +339,000 Killing an inflated economy is proving to be touchy (and sticky) business. As manufacturing continues…
June 2, 2023
To the surprise of no one, debt ceiling punted to 2025 (because… of course it was!)
White House and Congress complete ritualistic debt ceiling Kabuki Dance Extra, extra, read all about it! The debt ceiling has been extended, markets of course celebrate. It's not like this…
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May 30, 2023
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