Yearly Archives: 2014

Stock Market, US

SPX Hourly Chart

Just for fun, let's dial in close up to the wonder bounce going on in stocks.  The 60 min. view tells would-be shorts to consider the middle of Bollinger Bands…

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November 4, 2014
Economy

On Cue… Exports Weaken

Well our primary theme (believe it or not, including for an eventual positive stance on the gold sector) has been a firming of the US dollar and then for an…

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November 4, 2014
Sentiment & Psychology

% of Bullish Indicators

From Sentimentrader.com's data we note that the percentage of bullish sentiment indicators has plummeted with the stock market 'V' bounce after becoming contrarian bullish at the height (or depths) of…

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November 3, 2014
Manufacturing / Uncategorized

ISM: PMI @ 59%

October 2014 Manufacturing RoB This is not a picture of negativity in the least.  Here in the financial sphere we can look at declining commodity (cost input) prices and jump…

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November 3, 2014
Interest Rates

Yield Curve Today

Yields spreads from 10 to 5 to 2 years are declining, while nominal yields rise.  In other words, there is nothing risk OFF'ish about this in the least and liquidity…

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November 3, 2014
NFTRH+

NFTRH+; HURC 3D Hype & Mach Tool Q4 Sales

Hurco was mentioned in NFTRH 315 as a potential bear opportunity after an expected year-end bump in US machine tool sales.  This general plan of course assumes a rising US…

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November 3, 2014
Currencies

Currencies & Commentary

Excerpted from the November 2 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 315.  Public readers please filter with the idea that the style of writing meshes with much of…

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November 3, 2014
Economy

All Fixed?

One indicator at least says move along folks, nothing to see here.  Palladium vs. gold, which was used as a gauge of coming economic strength in early 2013 had recently…

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November 3, 2014
NFTRH

NFTRH 315 Out Now

I had a tough day on Friday because I wanted to dig deeply into the events in the markets as they were happening, but family priorities were well, a priority.…

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November 2, 2014
NFTRH Interim Updates

NFTRH; Brief Note

A quick note to let you know that I will be out for the rest of the day.  I wanted to communicate this because I tend to update during dynamic…

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October 31, 2014
Bonds

Bond Risk Profiles Flip Flop… Slightly

Yesterday we noted TLT (often risk OFF) was popping up from its flag.  Today that is reversed.  Today we see a massive risk 'ON' impulse throughout Wonderland, I mean the…

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October 31, 2014
Precious Metals

Dusting Up the VIX

Is it me or is the 3X Gold Miner short fund DUST beginning to look a lot like the VIX did a couple weeks ago?  I actually shorted the VIX…

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October 31, 2014
Gold / Stock Market, US

Fear Gap Closing

It is now two alert subscribers in two days who have reminded me of the 2008 'Fear Gap' situation that NFTRH has been managing since at least 2013 and maybe…

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October 31, 2014