Potential Risk-Off Signal Failing
The XLV/SPY ratio is a potential risk-off signal, and it is turning back down When Healthcare (XLV) rises vs. the broad market (SPY) it is a risk-off signal. Hence, we…
The XLV/SPY ratio is a potential risk-off signal, and it is turning back down When Healthcare (XLV) rises vs. the broad market (SPY) it is a risk-off signal. Hence, we…
NFTRH 847 Summary US Stock Market: Still on last week's theme of a potential new upside surge. But there are some short-term developments that could see some dropping and back-filling.…
Stock market rotating (knee-jerking) defensive in the wake of Jim Cramer's unwitting contrarian call "The Unbridling the Bull" my ass. Carnie barker Cramer provided us with a warning just last…
The stock market is reacting to some media stuff about China's DeepSeek AI model, which is tanking Nvidia, and thumping Tech as a whole, and pressuring the broad market. Ah,…
NFTRH 846 Summary US Stock Market: With the takeout of the left shoulder on SPX and the bull flag breakout on NDX, we are a plan for new highs and…
The unwitting king of contrarian investing checks in Contrarian investing is simple. When the herd thinks one thing, you think the other. There is no greater tender of the investing…
A late-stage, risky stock market is still a bullish stock market It is why we have macro-fundamentals AND technicals. The macro-fundamentals degraded throughout 2024, but the technicals? They trended up.…
The stock market's trends are up, but a contrarian pivot point is likely on the horizon Excerpted from the January 19 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 845…
NFTRH 845 Summary US Stock Market: To the surprise of no one, SPX bounced to negate the small H&S pattern's neckline. The decision point is the right shoulder. See US…
Stocks and gold have been "predictable" as we approach Inauguration Day "Predictable" taking the form of our previous "to or through the election" view for the 2024 bull, which was…
NFTRH 844 Summary US Stock Market: Small topping pattern in SPX. If it plays out it only projects to a healthy test of the uptrending 200 day moving average. However,…
Small bear pattern on the S&P 500 daily chart With the disclaimer that I have a short position against SPY, let's note the technical situation on the S&P 500. First…
From NFTRH 843's Sentiment segment: Indeed, the market is resetting itself from over-bearish, should the play be another drive upward and potential bull blowoff. Note that the short-term risk summary…
2025 begins with our plans well in motion for a stock market top and important changes to the macro This article attempts to put clearer words and images to the…