inflation

NFTRH

NFTRH 402 Out Now

Last week this site got semi hysterical about inflation because a new signal came about in the relationship of silver to gold.  This was added to 'push' inflation that we…

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July 3, 2016
Economy

Meanwhile, ‘Push’ Inflation Brews in US?

The ISM RoB continues on our theme of inflationary growth, as first indicated in the Semiconductor Equipment sector while everyone was freaking out about the backward looking employment situation.  Full…

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July 1, 2016
Inflation & Deflation / Notable Public Posts

Silver-Gold Ratio & TLT, Strange Bedfellows

Well, it is a fine pre-holiday Friday and I am hoping that what is going on now marks the start of a phase where I can stop trading so much and do my favorite thing, which is to make like Old Turkey, be right and sit tight.

The Silver-Gold ratio and its implication, inflation, barring an epic reversal of recent events, seem to indicate that will be the case.

SGR daily…

slv.gld1

SGR weekly…

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July 1, 2016
Inflation & Deflation

Silver-Gold Ratio on a Signal

I read a lot of crap out there where some guru will put cute tidbits in his writing like 'my subscribers were the first to know about blah blah blah…

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June 30, 2016
alice
NFTRH Interim Updates / Notable Public Posts

NFTRH; Silver-Gold Ratio

Folks, it may be the simplest update I’ve ever sent.  The Silver-Gold ratio is one of our gauges of a would-be inflationary environment to come (beneficial to commodities and other assets as noted so often previously).  Today the Silver-Gold ratio is making another move in the positive direction, with a big spike in relative volume by SLV/GLD.

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June 29, 2016
Inflation & Deflation

Is Inflation Dead?

Answer (as given by TIP/TLT):  Yes, the Fed stands down; a world full of casino patrons gets hysterical about the impending deflationary collapse! Answer (as given the by the Silver-Gold…

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June 28, 2016
Inflation & Deflation

Inflation is Brewing…

As if I have not pounded the table on the theme enough already, I'll highlight Brad Zigler, who is on the same theme... Inflation's Been a Dud He echoes my…

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June 27, 2016
Market Indicators

These Two Things Are Blowing Off

TLT (long-term T bonds) and TIP-TLT ('inflation expectations gauge) are blowing off.  One to the up, the other to the down.  When the blow out comes the reversals in the…

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June 27, 2016
alice
NFTRH Interim Updates

NFTRH; Post-Brexit

This week has been a gamble.  If you’re a stock bull you lose, if you’re a gold bull, you win.  This morning’s reaction to Britain’s exit from the EU is pure casino stuff, practically speaking as an investor in the very short-term.

From Tuesday’s update (with an updated chart of the VIX)…

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June 24, 2016
NFTRH / Notable Public Posts

NFTRH 400 Out Now

This week with the 400th edition we take a little stroll down memory lane, from NFTRH's humble beginnings on 9/28/08 to today.  Below is our nice little story but what…

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June 19, 2016
Inflation & Deflation

Inflation! Inflation!! Inflation!!!

I want to balance out all of the deflationary hysteria and Treasury bond market (risk 'off) bullishness out there.  Yeah yeah, BREXIT this, NIRP that, Payrolls the other thing... If…

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June 18, 2016