Experts as Contrary Indicators (Bonds Edition)
I want to begin this post by again noting publicly that feel like I clowned myself yesterday in my own trading and in my lack of attention to the market…
I want to begin this post by again noting publicly that feel like I clowned myself yesterday in my own trading and in my lack of attention to the market…
HYG (junk bonds) has a bearish daily chart and so its evil twin, SJB (junk bond short fund) has a corresponding bullish daily chart. I own Thing 2 (having added…
The Bonds segment of NFTRH 491 took a turn to tin foil territory to allow the letter writer to expose newer subscribers to his ideological views and thus, bias. #491…
The lesson is that when the media loudly trumpet Thing 1 (in this case the bond bear that Bill, Ray and Paul were alarming everybody about) you might want to…
[edit] Today I took profit (principal & interest) on 7-10 year Treasury fund IEF in order to concentrate on the shorter end of the curve for 'cash equivalent' income. With…
This morning's post highlighting Jim Grant's bond market/interest rate views (by way of Heisenberg) prompts me to reproduce publicly NFTRH 490's short bond segment. I may be known as the…
Well, Biiwii certainly is busy this morning with burning questions about inflation, deflation and especially the bond market. Charlie Bilello checks in from a practical standpoint (and later will have…
Thank you sir for putting some rational talk in the media and thank you Bloomy for putting him out there amid all the inflation and bond bear hysterics going on.…
See, the headline says so. You can click it for the article. Hedge-fund veteran Paul Tudor Jones has joined the growing chorus of big hitters in the fixed-income world warning…
So how long ago did we begin seriously entertaining higher long-term Treasury yields? Well, per these posts, it was before Halloween that we noted the daily chart breakouts and began…
The following is an excerpt from this week's edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 488. For NFTRH bonds are not just an asset class 'throw-in' but instead are…
Look, I am not trying to predict anything. The new buzz phrase I find myself clobbering NFTRH subscribers with lately (and not just with the bond market) is about not…
When writing things from a contrarian perspective, like the preceding post discussing a bullish contrary setup for the 10yr bond, I find it helpful to remind readers who was bearish…
The risk in the Treasury Bond/Note market is in not having any Treasury bonds. At least that is what the sentiment backdrop is saying. I hold a ton of SHV…