Life

Look, I tend not to be one of those bloggers going on about his philosophies (unless they deal with the markets or things that affect the markets), talks about his life and its associated troubles or especially, goes on about his kids. I have no time for that kind of blogging and suspect you don’t either. But without providing details I will tell you that … Continue reading Life

Palladium, PALL/Gold Ratio, SPX and the Gold Sector

Okay, now I am getting geeked out. One of the most fun and rare times in what I do is when something big happens that I feel in my gut means something, but about which I am not able to come forth with a ready explanation of the meaning (without sounding like a know-it-all blowhard). It’s time to put the thinking cap on and to … Continue reading Palladium, PALL/Gold Ratio, SPX and the Gold Sector

Gold is Skyrocketing the Last 2 Days! vs. Palladium, That is

Gold is exploding off the lows… in ratio to Palladium. That is not good macro signaling for the risk ‘on’ contingent and it is not good for the Palladium bubble contingent either. Here’s the nominal chart doing its best ‘silver 2011’ impersonation. Subscribe to NFTRH Premium (monthly at USD $33.50 or a 14% discounted yearly at USD $345.00) for an in-depth weekly market report, interim … Continue reading Gold is Skyrocketing the Last 2 Days! vs. Palladium, That is

Perfect, Gold Flushes the Inflationists Before the… Inflation

I have to hit the road today for most of the day. But a little note here as USD is firm and gold is getting dropped because, well, GDP was revised down and home sales weakened. There is a lot in motion right now folks, from the technical to the fundamental to sentiment. But that stuff ain’t bearish for gold (or theoretically, bullish for USD … Continue reading Perfect, Gold Flushes the Inflationists Before the… Inflation

alice

NFTRH; USD Technical, Fundamental & Sentiment Update (high priority)

We already know a big fundamental input. USD is losing the support of a formerly hawkish Fed. The Fed’s tight stance had kept commodities and global markets (esp. EM) contained into January 2019 as USD rallied and pressured these markets. Technically, the daily chart above is rallying to fill the post-Fed gap (at least) because these being the markets, they never do the expected or … Continue reading NFTRH; USD Technical, Fundamental & Sentiment Update (high priority)

SPX Weekly Chart: Decision Point at Hand

Before I begin this post I’ll note that my largest position is a short on SPY, but my overall positioning in US and global stocks is decidedly long. So if/as the bearish potentials shown here look to activate I will alter positioning accordingly. The weekly chart is not a pleasant looking thing. The US stock market has been rallying hard since Christmas Eve and the … Continue reading SPX Weekly Chart: Decision Point at Hand

nftrh plus

A Story Stock Looks to Fill an Important Gap

TRXC was a great trade in 2018 after I had bought the long bull flag in 2017 and the consolidation into 2018. But a story stock is a story stock and this one’s story is that it would be a baby Intuitive Surgical (ISRG). There are fundamental reasons to think that some day that may play out, but understand that at this time TRXC is … Continue reading A Story Stock Looks to Fill an Important Gap

The Macro TIPS Toward Inflation Protection

No long-winded post about what I think it means. Just a picture of the ‘inflation protected’ US Treasury bond iShares (including dividends) hitting new highs. While the unprotected Treasury fund TLT has also been bullish, it is in a much less distinct pattern and still around 10 bucks below its highs. Subscribe to NFTRH Premium (monthly at USD $33.50 or a 14% discounted yearly at … Continue reading The Macro TIPS Toward Inflation Protection

Time for a Turn?

This is the opening segment from this week’s edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 544. This segment is usually written before I’ve done the weekend work, which is cool because I get to compare the pre-work things I think I know with the post-work things I do know. Opening Notes: Time for a Turn? It would not be wise to take one day, … Continue reading Time for a Turn?

NFTRH 544 Out Now

As usual, the page 1 screen shot scratches the surface… Subscribe to NFTRH Premium (monthly at USD $33.50 or a 14% discounted yearly at USD $345.00) for an in-depth weekly market report, interim market updates and NFTRH+ chart and trade setup ideas. You can also keep up to date with actionable public content at NFTRH.com by using the email form on the right sidebar and … Continue reading NFTRH 544 Out Now