Bonds: A Gross Signal Upcoming

Reference this post from December 2016... Bonds: 90% of You Are Herding ...and this sentiment graphic (source: Sentimentrader w/ my markups) from that post and the bullish implication it carried:…

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Have I Turned Into a Contrary Indicator?

No. I am the one after all with all the red arrows on a chart I call the continuum, aren't I? My view is that the odds are that this…

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When Pigs Fly

When the Pigs fly tends to be when interest rate dynamics say they fly. Rising long-term interest rates, as long as they don't materially hurt the economy, are beneficial to…

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NFTRH; Multi-Market Update

What's this? The color I see in the market futures is not green? What is the meaning of this?!? Here are this morning's Bloomberg headlines... Broad Markets In sum these…

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Plan in Action, BSX Edition

As an example of how I am going about this bubble, my main risk management tool is to make sure I am routinely taking profits in the ones that boom…

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NFTRH 481 Out Now

All themes are making sense in this giddy manic market. The 3 Amigos continue to ride and that means it is all risk 'on' and bullish until they reach destinations…

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A Humble Suggestion to @realDonaldTrump

The president did his latest stock market pompom tweet... Me... Have a good weekend. I've got some writing to do after a really interesting and really gainful week. I don't…

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Ever Been Part of a Melt-Up?

This morning I noted that I did not appreciate seeing Jeremy Grantham's note dismissed even in the slightest way and without rancor by a Biiwii author. His intro was "Here…

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