RUT Rolling
The very first step to any would-be corrective activity is to lose the EMA 10's. That is the gold line on this chart of the Russell 2000. NFTRH has been…
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November 17, 2014
Dow-Gold; Secular Cycles
From MacroTrends... "This chart tracks the three primary secular cycles of the Dow to Gold ratio, smoothed with a 3-month moving average. The cycles are measured by how many ounces…
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November 17, 2014
Market Participation Fades
The charts below were included in an NFTRH update last week and also for eLetter readers over the weekend. I want to put them up here as well to give…
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November 17, 2014
NFTRH 317 Out Now
Actually it was out much earlier but I had to get it in the can and run this morning. So now I am back and here to tell you that…
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November 16, 2014
Gold and Silver CoT Reports
With what little bounce activity gold and silver had experienced by Tuesday (CoT cut off date), the data show a jump in large speculators' active bearishness and commercial entities longing…
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November 14, 2014
NFTRH; Junk-Quality Credit Spreads
Junk bond fund HYG is breaking below the 50 and 200 day moving averages. HYG in relation to long-term Treasury bonds never did break above the moving averages and you…
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November 14, 2014
The 3rd Horseman
Gold vs. Silver and USD have reversed downward today. This would imply a whiff of an 'inflation trade' if it were to persist and lead to a break of the…
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November 14, 2014
NFTRH; Participation Indexes Making Signals Again
Folks, no one indicator works as a stand-alone. In trying to gauge what is in store for markets we have got to go with probabilities and to build a case…
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November 14, 2014
Gold Sector Review
Originally posted at Biiwii.com; thought I’d pop it up here as well.
Below is a summary of some of the aspects we follow in NFTRH to gauge a future investment stance on the gold sector. It is much more complex than simply hearing dogma that seems to make sense and then holding on for dear life…
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November 13, 2014
Gold Sector Review…
What seems like an extensive review is really only the basics in the gold sector. That is how involved the many disparate parts are and reflects the level of work…
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November 13, 2014
Yield Curve Today
The 10, 5 and 2 year spreads are aligned with the curve rising and nominal yields declining today. That is theoretically a pro-gold and risk '0FF' alignment. Somebody forgot to…
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November 13, 2014
NFTRH; Key ETF Update
A snapshot of current technical status…
GLD made a bearish breakdown below the equiv. of gold 1180. To even think about repairing the technicals, GLD would have to get above 115 at a minimum (gold above 1180).
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November 13, 2014
SOX Daily
The Semiconductor index is tapping the EMA 10 (gold line) again. This has supported two previous blips. Let's see how #3 goes.
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November 12, 2014
2 Horesmen
The Gold-Silver ratio and USD (GLD-SLV, UUP) are still in bullish trends, which means the case for a decline in market liquidity is still in play.
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November 12, 2014