"There is nothing wrong with your television set [market signaling]. Do not attempt to adjust the picture [ratios, indicators, free market inputs]. We are controlling transmission [of the signals you…
Jerome Powell (I have to believe purposely) rammed it back into gear. Deflationary or even Goldilocks signaling will not do. I don't pretend to know exactly why, but it appears…
With the June Jobs release behind us, the 10/2 yield spread/curve (CNBC) is left to do its part in indicating the future. It maintains its steepening potential, but is on…
The most recent tooth in this alligator's jaw is toward the flattening side as the 10/2 continues to grind out a potential steepener for 2019. It's not me saying that.…
A steepening yield curve/spread does not need to bring on doom, as it did in 2000 and 2007. In the early 90s a steepener went with a stock market that…
I have held SHY (1-3 year Treasury bond fund) as a cash equivalent for many months now. It's paid out a lot of good income (chart 1 includes the income)…
Aye aye aye, the yield curve liked (or didn't like, depending on how you view it) something that went on today after 2:00 US Eastern time. Ref. the earlier post…
I searched for a live yield curve chart and could not find the curve as we usually view it, which is the 10yr-2yr available on a 1 day delay at…
I was conversing with someone on Twitter about the yield curve and decided to go looking through the macro charts list for some visuals, and this beast popped out at…
As per the last post the curve did steepen today. Here's the daily chart. Looks kinda similar to early October, doesn't it? Okay, that is a negative for many markets,…
I don't have a real time vehicle (that I know of) to see the 10yr-2yr yield curve in-day, but I do have the SHY (1-3 year) Treasury bond fund (positive…
Just one look at the daily chart of SPX tells us - in hindsight - that this may have all been about gap acquisition. I was completely right and righteous…
Everybody (including me) is watching the 10-2 yield curve. While the media and mainstream analysts make a big deal about its proximity to inversion that is not the important point.…
The 3 Amigos were a blogger's way of not boring himself to death while fleshing out important macro indicators month after month. Amigo #1 (SPX/Gold ratio) got home and dropped…