Gappy New Year!
It looked like a few rats tried to jump ship as the bell rang on 2014. But it is hard to trust any one day or week as a guide…
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January 1, 2015
NFTRH 323 Out Now
NFTRH 323 ends the year in the same fashion as we began, calmly portraying what is in play within the market's swings, laying out probabilities and honestly interpreting what the…
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December 28, 2014
NFTRH; Market Notes and ETF’s
Rather than do a full ETF report in the midst of the low volume Santa backdrop, I thought I’d wrap up a few thoughts on the market’s current status, go over a couple charts of individual companies and then hit only the most relevant ETF’s.
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December 23, 2014
World’s Best Investment!
What if I told you there is a 'no risk' investment that will out perform the S&P 500, even assuming the S&P 500 will continue upward at the pace it…
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December 22, 2014
NFTRH; Semi Sector & Stock Market
Semiconductor Equipment Book-to-Bill The Semiconductor Equipment book-to-bill ratio for November is out and it improved per the table below. I will work the data into a graph similar to the…
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December 19, 2014
Updating Intel
Now that we have the FOMC hysterics, the Russia hysterics, crude oil hysterics and Greece hysterics (have I missed any?... oh yeh) put to bed for a moment, maybe we…
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December 18, 2014
NFTRH; Post-FOMC Market Update
From yesterday's ETF update: "TIP-TLT continues to indicate that the Treasury market perceives no inflation issues whatsoever. Indeed, the whole world is worried about anything other than inflation right now. …
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December 18, 2014
Risk Flies ‘ON’ Today
All Treasury yields are up with the curve... yup, dropping. They are suddenly not scared anymore and are flying out of liquidity instruments. Junk and Junk to quality is snapping…
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December 17, 2014
Google Market Trends
Just FYI, a little exercise on some financial topics. By Google Trends at least, the stage is setting up for a contrarian, counter-trend bounce in precious metals and commodities in…
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December 16, 2014
Stock Market to Yellen
Stock Market to Janet Yellen: "I dare you to talk tough about Fed Funds rates. I double dare you!" SPY is at our NFTRH+ target, which does not mean it…
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December 15, 2014
NFTRH 321 Out Now
A good report that departs from some of the nuts and bolts (so much so that I forgot to include the usual currency segment, which we have frankly had nailed…
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December 14, 2014
SPY Updated
Frankly, the more unwieldy this hyper frenetic market gets, the less inclination I have to do NFTRH+ updates, because the volatility has a funny way of breaking charts (with associated…
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December 12, 2014
Stock Market Not Even Close to Topping Out –Hulbert
Mark Hulbert's HNNSI (data compiled from Nasdaq oriented market timers) shows that sentiment among these timers was not indicative of a top as it had been fading the rally into…
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December 12, 2014
NFTRH; Stock Market / Precious Metals
US Stock Market
After a whipsaw on Tuesday the market made a hard move down yesterday. Amid degrading indicators like bond spreads and sentiment, the Dow and S&P 500 declined over the last 3 days from all time highs.
Our parameters between normal and abnormal are very tight. Let’s check up on them.
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December 11, 2014
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