Stock Market

NFTRH Interim Updates

NFTRH; Econ Data, Markets and Gold

So the Swiss gold vote caused a sizable ruckus in gold and silver overnight.  This morning there is a nearly as sizable recovery in the metals.

The Swiss vote is an important hype component to get behind us and a positive reversal today would be notable, given the already over bearish sentiment profile (cue Citi’s Willem Buiter with a hysterical rant against gold leading in to the Swiss vote).

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December 1, 2014
NFTRH Interim Updates

NFTRH; Risk Profile

We have a developing potential for a stock market upside blow off on the table for reasons explained previously.  With this update I want to present the indicators that argue to the contrary and ask us to manage risk.  I cannot predict which way the chips will fall (no pun intended) but I can continue to put up indicators for guidance.

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November 28, 2014
Stock Market, US

TLT & TLT-SPY

The long bond fund TLT has looked just fine, as we had been noting in NFTRH ETF updates during its bowl-like pattern.  It's now broken above it.  Daily MACD and…

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November 25, 2014
Sentiment & Psychology

‘Euphoria Has Set in’

From Mark Hulbert @ MarketWatch... Euphoria has set in, and investors will be in for a rude awakening Here is the graphic (Hulbert Stock Newsletter Index) from the article... While…

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November 21, 2014
Stock Market, US

Market Participation Fades

The charts below were included in an NFTRH update last week and also for eLetter readers over the weekend.  I want to put them up here as well to give…

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November 17, 2014
NFTRH Interim Updates

NFTRH; Market Notes

Precious Metals I got back near the end of the day and observed that HUI promptly gave back any in-day bounce hopes and has now closed below the 2008 low. …

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November 5, 2014
NFTRH Interim Updates

NFTRH; Market Notes

With events in play I thought we should have a market update as opposed to the usual ETF update this morning... US Stock Market The Republicans won, to no one's…

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November 5, 2014
Stock Market, US

SPX Hourly Chart

Just for fun, let's dial in close up to the wonder bounce going on in stocks.  The 60 min. view tells would-be shorts to consider the middle of Bollinger Bands…

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November 4, 2014
Sentiment & Psychology

% of Bullish Indicators

From Sentimentrader.com's data we note that the percentage of bullish sentiment indicators has plummeted with the stock market 'V' bounce after becoming contrarian bullish at the height (or depths) of…

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November 3, 2014
Gold / Stock Market, US

Fear Gap Closing

It is now two alert subscribers in two days who have reminded me of the 2008 'Fear Gap' situation that NFTRH has been managing since at least 2013 and maybe…

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October 31, 2014
NFTRH Interim Updates

NFTRH; Market Update

Stock Market Let's keep it simple.  At the depths of the recent hysterical downside we noted that the forces pushing the market down were probably unsustainable largely due to hype…

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October 31, 2014
NFTRH Interim Updates

NFTRH; Post FOMC

Post FOMC The Fed has ended QE 3 as expected. Here is the big picture view that has seen a post-2008 constant in Zero Interest Rate Policy (ZIRP) and systematic…

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October 30, 2014
NFTRH Interim Updates

NFTRH; SPY, QQQ & IWM

This is probably of more concern to traders, so it could be considered an NFTRH+ update as well for people who want to plot levels to take a shot shorting.  But for everyone’s reference I want to put up another view of the upside retrace potentials using Fibonacci retracement levels, now that the bounce is confirmed to be in progress and we can gauge an actual low to measure from.

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October 17, 2014