Policy, Profits and Propping… that is without a doubt the underlying fundamental support for a massive and growing phase of market speculation that becomes more dangerous with every week that it lurches forward. Once again, the chart that proves this in no uncertain terms:
Ever since the current (final wave 5?) leg in the now 4 year, 7 month old US stock bull market generated in November of 2012, NFTRH has tried to make the point that there is no new secular bull market in US stocks. Indeed, there is a maturing cyclical bull market that has another 5 (+/-) months to live if it is to match the two previous cycles. The bubble leader, Russell 2000 does after all have a measured target of 1350 (Kisses Goodbye).
Why do we call the US cyclical stock bull a bubble you ask? Because of this chart (courtesy of SlopeCharts), variations of which NFTRH subscribers have been repeatedly hit over the head with just to make sure that we know what we are dealing with.
In response to a subscriber’s request, I am pleased to announce the addition of a simple yet helpful new aspect to the NFTRH service that will be of value to subscribers and potential subscribers who do not always have the time or inclination to wade through the whole detailed NFTRH report each week.
The NFTRH service will now include clear, uncluttered charts (as follows) focused on a daily time frame for strategic ETF’s. This is an addition (at no extra charge) to the already well rounded service that includes the detailed weekend letter and interim email/website updates during the week.
We now provide handy and unbiased short to intermediate technical signals for gold (GLD), silver (SLV), gold stocks (GDX), silver stocks (SIL), commodities (DBC), broad US markets (SPY), Europe (EZU), emerging markets (EEM) and China (FXI). ETF content is subject to change as their strategic value changes.
This singular aspect of the new NFTRH represents a clearly defined focus on my most basic management tool and capability, i.e. nominal technical analysis simply portrayed with a clear and concise message that is free of detailed theoretical and opinion content.
In the interest of simplicity there will be little talk of support, resistance, volume and measured objectives in this segment of the service. In short, all we want to know with these charts is ‘are they on bull, bear or neutral signals?’ Very mechanical, very unbiased.
On to our first (complimentary) daily technical report…
GLD is on a bear signal with MACD triggered down, below zero and price below a short term downtrend line and the 50 day moving averages.
In the current policy and media stoked market environment, anything is possible. It’s the wonderful, magical world of hands-on policy making. 5 years after the financial crisis, but still not enjoying a ramping economy like the good old (and long gone) days of the last great secular bull market (RIP 2000)? Just sit back, relax and let the man in charge control the image.
The destruction culminating in late June in the gold price brought out the usual suspects to school us ever since about why gold is all done as a worthy investment…
Last week the Silver-Gold ratio (SGR) failed to get with the bear memo as the sector got a hard shakeout, and look what happened. This week through the ups and…
It is as notable as a 2nd term president handing off the big problems to the next guy, as George Bush did with Barack Obama in 2008; the changing of…
Risk is OFF [ed: 'Risk Off' might seem obvious this morning, but NFTRH has been highlighting acute risk in the US stock market since leading indicators - including a sentiment…
Excerpted from Notes From the Rabbit Hole #240, dated May 26, 2013. Alan Greenspan gave them the playbook (Credit & Debt Manipulation 101) and now Ben Bernanke and global inflators…
I read a piece this morning by Josh Brown, the Reformed Broker, in which he destroys the 1999 comparison for the stock market. He makes some excellent points about why…
Excerpted from Notes From the Rabbit Hole #237: Young FrankenMarket Lives In failing to take a “healthy” correction to the equivalent of SPX 1350 to 1450 from the upside target…
Current gold ratio setups, a real world view of ratio analysis 'White Paper' As the Cyprus drama and other macro events play out and distort normal macro economic signals to…
Precious Metals (Negative) Bearish Engulfing candles aplenty yesterday ('BE' is only a very short-term bearish candle, with implications over the next 1-3 days at most) Lack of bullish follow-through from…
Broad Market Comment Regarding the segment in NFTRH 229 that included the chart showing the divergences between the CCI commodity index and the S&P 500, a subscriber felt I may…