Powell Cuts, Trump Throws a Twantrum [w/ edit]

[edit] I may have misspoken in the post below. If my hazy memory serves I think I remember something about Powell not being a formally trained economist. But it does…

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NFTRH; On Rates, Gold, Miners and Stocks

An email from a subscriber prompts this mini update here at T-minus 1 day to FOMC. In response to this morning's rate cut probabilities post Mark asked my thoughts about…

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Rate Cut Probabilities Have Dropped Significantly

While a majority of wise guys still expect the Fed to cut the Funds Rate tomorrow, the percentage has dropped significantly, from what I seem to remember as near-unanimous in…

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Market Management 101: Balance

I cannot profess to tell others how to effectively manage their accounts because I am a lowly participant who is learning all the time. The truth is that 2019's learning…

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NFTRH Interim Report

Opening Notes As advised on Sunday this week's report will be abbreviated due to travel plans and we'll be back to our regular programming next week with NFTRH 566. I…

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The Yield Curve’s Steepener is Cooked, for Now

The 10yr/2yr spread is making a lower low, that breaks the steepening trend of 2019 and the signal would normally be thought to be Goldilocks; where inflationists get killed, gold/silver…

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“Yield Curve Control”?

"There is nothing wrong with your television set [market signaling]. Do not attempt to adjust the picture [ratios, indicators, free market inputs]. We are controlling transmission [of the signals you…

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It’s Fed Hype Week

A couple tough days for the market and the headlines are reinforcing the negativity. A single (and positive) payrolls report has instigated some market noise with the theme being a…

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