It’s Not Just the U.S. Pulling Back From the Global Economy

China's Politburo is not sitting idly by while Trump pushes them around. From the Nikkei Asian Review... Why China's 'dual circulation' plan is bad news for everyone else Rebalancing in…

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Surprise!

In Friday's post about the Stock/Economy Pumper-in-Chief we also noted regarding economic 'experts' AKA economists: Of course the ‘experts’ were wrong. They are usually wrong. That’s why I tune out…

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Watch the Daily Shot, daily

When I used to publish other peoples' stuff at biiwii.com one of my favorites was the Daily Shot Brief. So this post is just a reminder that The Daily Shot…

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A helping hand…

It is difficult in the midst of panic and loss to think about others, but I know a lot of people are doing just that. I am too. There are…

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Trump Impeached! [w/ edit]

[edit] As with all these posts that include politics this one seems to have stirred something up that I did not intend. If you think for one minute that I…

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Mises Goes Mainstream, Calls Bull

I don't mind telling you that I tend to tune everybody out in favor of the market. That includes mainstream Wall Street types, perma-bulls, perma-bears, speed freaks & momos, doom…

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Payrolls +266k, the Details…

You can click this graphic for the detailed November Payrolls report from BLS. Here is where the heavy lifting came from. There is the usual onslaught of services jobs relative…

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ISM Continues to Fade

Here is the full ISM Report on Business if you'd like to check it out. Here are the concerning items I've marked up... Here are what some respondents have to…

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Philly Fed Bumps Up, With a Cost-Push Inflation Hint

It's just one region, but the Philly Fed's Manufacturing survey bumped up in its most recent reading. The thing I find most interesting is the expectation that manufacturers will be…

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Semi Sector Leads, Laggards Lag

The graphic shows you that the media have now, months later, caught up to the story. As we have been noting all year, Semi leads and Semi Equipment and Materials…

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Semiconductor Leadership Has 1 Year Birthday

NFTRH has tracked the intact leadership chain for the US stock market for all of 2019 and indeed since Q4 2018, with the front end (SOX/NDX) and the back end…

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Updated Inflation/Reflation Pictures

A look at a few of the macro indicators to what is ahead regarding the inflation/deflation (or damn her, Goldilocks)* view... The Continuum (30yr bond yield, monthly chart) still resides…

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