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Inflation & Deflation

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stagflation
Economy / Inflation & Deflation / Notable Public Posts / Public

Stagflation or Deflation?

"Stagflation or Deflation?"; one will come first As the Fed's Michael Barr notes, tariffs will put upward pressure on prices of items subject to said tariffs. You can tap the…

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May 9, 2025
Read more about the article Will Tariffs and the global Trade War “Spanner” Flip the Macro Inflationary?
Economy / Inflation & Deflation / Public

Will Tariffs and the global Trade War “Spanner” Flip the Macro Inflationary?

Tariffs and the global trade war could flip the macro inflationary (stagflationary) sooner than expected "It's complicated." An answer that may be given by people when asked about their relationship,…

1 Comment
April 22, 2025
Read more about the article February CPI Inflation Rate: We Remain on Plan
Inflation & Deflation / Public

February CPI Inflation Rate: We Remain on Plan

The February CPI Inflation Rate continues the disinflationary trend, but... There always seems to be a "but", doesn't there? You can click the MSM's graphic to read the details about…

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March 12, 2025
Read more about the article Down the Rabbit Hole; the Age of Inflation onDemand
Bonds / Inflation & Deflation / Public

Down the Rabbit Hole; the Age of Inflation onDemand

Excerpted from the January 26 edition of Notes From the Rabbit Hole, NFTRH 846 NFTRH 846 went much further off the normal path than this excerpt, as its writer was…

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January 26, 2025
Read more about the article Post-CPI, Dis-inflation Progressing as Expected
Economy / Inflation & Deflation / Public

Post-CPI, Dis-inflation Progressing as Expected

Today's CPI inflation measure follows a PPI report showing that the enemy the public continues to obsess over is in the rear view mirror It was well over two years…

2 Comments
August 14, 2024
Read more about the article Ugly Pictures From the St. Louis Fed
Funny Munny / Inflation & Deflation / Public

Ugly Pictures From the St. Louis Fed

These graphs from the St. Louis Fed tell a story of excess, endurance, price appreciation & intense risk I've been on the expanding debt theme for many years now, but…

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May 21, 2024
Read more about the article Gold and Inflation (and Gold Stocks)
Gold / Gold Stocks / Inflation & Deflation / Public

Gold and Inflation (and Gold Stocks)

The relationship between gold and inflation is not usually a positive for gold stocks, but that is changing I want to call your attention to an article by Jordan Roy…

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May 13, 2024
Read more about the article Goin’ Stag… Stagflation Signaled in Q1 GDP Report/Inflation Combo
Economy / Inflation & Deflation / Public

Goin’ Stag… Stagflation Signaled in Q1 GDP Report/Inflation Combo

Stagflation is indicated by two economic conditions: Decelerating Q1 GDP Report and persistent inflationary effects Let's also realize that the economy is decelerating in its headline number despite all that…

1 Comment
April 25, 2024
Read more about the article March CPI Report +3.5%; Surprised?
Inflation & Deflation / Public

March CPI Report +3.5%; Surprised?

What the public thinks is "inflation", CPI, rose more than expected Here is the table of components of the March CPI report. You can click it to read the whole…

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April 10, 2024
Read more about the article Why Are Gold and Commodities Positive Amid Rising Long-term Yields?
Gold / Inflation & Deflation / Market Indicators / Public

Why Are Gold and Commodities Positive Amid Rising Long-term Yields?

Why are gold and commodities up and stocks under pressure as long-term interest rates rise? Because, this... The 10-2 yield curve is threatening to resume steepening. The uplift from the…

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April 2, 2024
Read more about the article Let’s Talk ‘Inflation’, Post-CPI
Federal Reserve / Inflation & Deflation / Public

Let’s Talk ‘Inflation’, Post-CPI

A little discussion about this thing we call "inflation" after the January CPI report A vast majority of people see inflation as rising prices, wages and 'pushed' costs within the…

5 Comments
February 13, 2024
Read more about the article January CPI Hotter Than Expected, Except it Was Expected… and Confidence Remains Intact
Federal Reserve / Inflation & Deflation / Notable Public Posts / Public

January CPI Hotter Than Expected, Except it Was Expected… and Confidence Remains Intact

January CPI ticks up .3%, market reacting predictably in full submission to the great and powerful Fed of Oz Click image, get the news, hot off the presses! We have…

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February 13, 2024
Read more about the article US Dollar Index (DXY) is a ‘Tool’, Gold is ‘Value’, Both Are Safe Havens
Currencies / Inflation & Deflation / Precious Metals / Public

US Dollar Index (DXY) is a ‘Tool’, Gold is ‘Value’, Both Are Safe Havens

The US Dollar index is at another stubborn decision point, and macro markets hang in the balance as USD and gold's relationship to silver will direct coming market strategies As…

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February 1, 2024
Yield curve steepener
Inflation & Deflation / Market Indicators / Public

Yield Curve Steepener Thus Far Inflationary

The new Yield Curve steepener has not yet un-inverted, but it's in progress and thus far mildly inflationary Reference Inflationary Yield Curve Steepening? from January 11. In my opinion, after…

2 Comments
January 25, 2024
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