NFTRH; Updating the Options, pre-FOMC

According to CME Group, rate cut probabilities declined yesterday to even odds from a previous reading that was near unanimous for a cut. Today it is back to 59% for…

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Oh Canada!

We track the major global markets each week in NFTRH and in NFTRH 568 we noted the following using a weekly chart of the Toronto Composite index. Canada's TSX looks…

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NFTRH; On Rates, Gold, Miners and Stocks

An email from a subscriber prompts this mini update here at T-minus 1 day to FOMC. In response to this morning's rate cut probabilities post Mark asked my thoughts about…

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Rate Cut Probabilities Have Dropped Significantly

While a majority of wise guys still expect the Fed to cut the Funds Rate tomorrow, the percentage has dropped significantly, from what I seem to remember as near-unanimous in…

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USD Index & USD/Global Pairs

In case anyone still cares what these tramps are doing, here is the USD index and USD pairs with other currencies at yesterday's close. I've tried to make this NFTRH…

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Mega Oil Knee Jerk

It may well have some lasting effect since it was a substantial attack with real supply implications. But you are now being called to action by the headlines, told which…

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NFTRH 568 Out Now (and attn: Subscriber Paul A.)

NFTRH 568 was finely tuned as we cover all the important bases heading into FOMC this week. I for one feel completely prepared. Screenshot hints as usual... Attn: Subscriber Paul…

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Even Steven [w/ edit]

[edit] As per the NFTRH Trade Log a few moments ago... 9.13.19: Taking profit on 2nd TBT position (still holding 1st as part of the makeshift curve steepener w/ SHY…

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Market Management 101: Balance

I cannot profess to tell others how to effectively manage their accounts because I am a lowly participant who is learning all the time. The truth is that 2019's learning…

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A Reluctant Goodbye to ASML

The chart tells you why it was time for me at least, to take a nice profit on this up trending and bullish stock. They say don't be greedy. So…

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10yr Yields, CESI and the Run Up to FOMC

I could be wrong, but based on my recollection the wise guys were predicting even higher odds of a rate cut prior to this latest reading. I seem to recall…

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