NFTRH; Europe vs. US
A simple update noting that like Japan before it, Europe is now making a bullish move vs. the S&P 500. Here is the daily chart of the Euro-hedged HEZU vs.…
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October 31, 2017
Yields & Macro Status
Last week these moderators were included in a post about the breakout in long-term yields and its implications... "This week, assuming it is confirmed by remaining active through the FOMC…
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October 31, 2017
Profits Taken on USD Bull Fund
Uncle Buck's pattern is active, everybody sees it now and as noted in NFTRH 471, the buck has lost its contrarian edge (sentiment is neutral from previously universally hated) and…
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October 30, 2017
Bond Yields: Testing Time
The breakouts above resistance are now being tested in 10 & 30 year bond yields. Though it's broken through the zone I drew, the 10yr is still regarded as testing.…
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October 30, 2017
NFTRH; Long-term Interest Rate Status
This morning in pre-market the 10yr US Treasury Note it testing its breakdown at the blue dot on the chart. And the 10yr yield is testing the top of its…
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October 30, 2017
NFTRH 471 Out Now
It added a companion macro signal in waiting to go with the 10 & 30 year yield continuum limiters in order to one day signal a change in the macro.…
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October 29, 2017
Upwards at 45°
Okay I got sidetracked in the middle of NFTRH 471. While describing the trajectory of the ACWI World Index I wrote "upwards at 45 degrees". So of course I had…
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October 28, 2017
3 of My Old Friends…
Intel is nearing the Cup & Handle target of 44 (later revised to 46). I took the profit at around 40 (silly me), which was the big picture target established…
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October 27, 2017
NFTRH; Gold Sector
Well, I think the red headed step child has been beaten enough, don't you? Pardon the insensitive old fashioned expression, but the point is that the precious metals have been…
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October 27, 2017
The Big Macro Play Ahead
At NFTRH, we are about major macro turning points above all else. Of course, it is often years between these turning points or points of significant change so we are…
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October 27, 2017
Uncle Buck’s Status
Still in the bottoming pattern, but now making a move on the neckline. By now the machines have probably picked up on this and they are talking to each other.…
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October 26, 2017
NFTRH; Relative Sectors Amid Yield Backdrop
As we wait to see if yesterday's interest rate signal is confirmed as the beginning of the countdown to the 10yr & 30yr limit points (2.9% +/- & 3.3% +/-,…
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October 26, 2017
NFTRH; Making Plans
Folks, as a portfolio balancer things are becoming clearer, assuming the move up in interest rates is real today (see this post showing the details). As a trader, things continue…
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October 25, 2017
Treasury Yields: Here We Go, Folks
If this morning's break above resistance is real you'll need to have your thinking caps on in the coming weeks. It's about to get really noisy out there. If the…
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October 25, 2017