Gold CoT Report; Hard Lurch Negative but…

...it will only matter when it matters.  Playing it straight, the speculative interests (big net long increase this week) are right as they always are while the current trend is…

Comments Off on Gold CoT Report; Hard Lurch Negative but…

Silver Stocks vs. Gold Stocks

I continue to like Thing 2 better than Thing 1 because a) the macro environment - as indicated by today's jobs report and other economic data/indicators - and b) this…

Comments Off on Silver Stocks vs. Gold Stocks

NFTRH; Gold Sector (Funda & Technical)

Referencing one of our main themes for the last half a year, the case for the gold sector is supported by the case for economic deceleration.  It is not supported by inflation, as in the recent bounce in inflation expectations as the US dollar declined.

The gold sector often rises with inflation expectations as silver out performs gold and so do commodities.  But the gold sector’s fundamentals are fed by counter-cyclical activity and today’s payrolls report was right in line with that.  In the ‘pullback’ update on Wednesday we also noted that the ‘gold ratio’ macro indicators remained positive as well…

(more…)

Comments Off on NFTRH; Gold Sector (Funda & Technical)

Payrolls and the Gold Sector

Well, a weak employment report will not do much for inflationists who believe strong jobs = rising wages = cost push inflation = smart money buys gold. What it will…

Comments Off on Payrolls and the Gold Sector

SOX: Post-2012 Market Leader Bearish

Semiconductor index leadership pointing down That is what the chart says folks, bearish.  The SOX is bearish in its abdication of bullish leadership in 2015 (top panel) and it's weekly…

Comments Off on SOX: Post-2012 Market Leader Bearish

Broad US Market

This market is anything but cut and dry.  For instance, within this single chart we find some broader market indexes above their supportive moving averages and some below them.  Lateral…

Comments Off on Broad US Market

30yr/5yr yields and S&P 500

We have followed this chart for a long while in its various forms in NFTRH.  Here is the simple view of the S&P 500 on top of what appears to…

Comments Off on 30yr/5yr yields and S&P 500

NFTRH; Pullback Parameters for GDX, GDXJ & SIL

The precious metals were due to pull back and here is a pullback.  Please review this morning’s post for a look at how the macro market is setting up for the gold sector’s next bullish phase.  Remember that we launched fundamentally based on gold’s out performance of nearly everything else, as indicated by the weak silver-gold ratio.  But the rally matures as silver vs. gold matures.

(more…)

Comments Off on NFTRH; Pullback Parameters for GDX, GDXJ & SIL

2 Horsemen Ride Again

US dollar and Gold-Silver ratio bounce together Horseman #1 fell out of the saddle but chased the horse and has got one foot back in the stirrup.  That would be…

Comments Off on 2 Horsemen Ride Again

FARO vs. SSYS

I had two of what I consider "best of breed" (BoB) companies per their respective niches in US manufacturing, Faro and Stratasys.  I considered the bad Machine Tools sales data…

Comments Off on FARO vs. SSYS

Fear Not Gold Bugs, Gold Ratios Well Intact

What has been going on since mid-February is a burst of the 'inflation trade' as evidenced by silver's leadership in the precious metals sector.  This opened the barn door for…

Comments Off on Fear Not Gold Bugs, Gold Ratios Well Intact

Gold Stock Pullback Still Normal

Everybody with eyes to see prices too far above certain moving averages knew that the gold stocks were going to pullback.  But as this year has shown so far, a…

Comments Off on Gold Stock Pullback Still Normal

Here Comes Uncle Buck

Just enjoying watching Unc's progress at critical support.  He's now back above it. Subscribe to NFTRH Premium for your 25-35 page weekly report, interim updates and NFTRH+ chart and trade…

Comments Off on Here Comes Uncle Buck

US Dollar, Pre-Market

Uncle Buck poked below support and is trying to claw back now in pre-market.  92.50 is the key level between pleasure and pain for Unc and much of the asset…

Comments Off on US Dollar, Pre-Market