Memo to ‘Resource’ Exploration Geniuses

That backwater mine that you hope to make your retirement on, exploding upward on hopes, dreams and a lot of good old fashioned Canadian promotion, is actually nothing special. Subscribe…

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SPX Bear Signal Negated

The weekly EMA 20 has crossed over the EMA 50 and that is just a fact.  The bulls not only took the bears' ball, but now they are chasing them…

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NFTRH; Silver-Gold Ratio (further explanation)

A new subscriber had a question as to the point of yesterday’s update about the Silver-Gold ratio and so I want to try to be clearer for other newer subscribers.  The statement in question was “But until the Silver-Gold ratio breaks out, it has not broken out.”

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NFTRH; Silver-Gold Ratio

I like a party as much as the next guy, but here is a turd in the punch bowl just to make sure we are balanced and partying within bounds.  The top panel is the Silver-Gold ratio (SLV-GLD) and the lower is the Commodity sector ETF.

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Birthed in Short Covering?

While I do not pretend to have been impervious to the bearish CoT data for gold and silver, we noted on February 28th in NFTRH 384 the similarity in silver's…

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Resource ‘Promotion’ Season in Full Swing

There is nobody like Otto at IKN for uncovering the pigs who live off of scaring and titillating gullible or inexperienced people looking to get rich off of their recommendations. …

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A Reversal w/ a Lot of Energy

In pre-market there was some hype surrounding the Doha 'failure' to fix prices in oil.  Failure?  That's a victory for the free market and it turns out, those of us…

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NFTRH 391 Out Now

This week we abbreviated to a review of limit and/or trend change points in several markets, further discussion of inflation and what needs to be in place to call an…

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NFTRH; Extensive Update of Precious Metals, Stocks and Commodities

Note:  A reminder that I will mostly be away from the markets on Thursday and Friday.  This update is an extensive review of where markets stand now.  We will update the situation on Sunday with an abbreviated NFTRH 391.

Precious Metals

HUI made it to the resistance line and the projected zone of 202 to 211 off the consolidation triangle (ref. daily chart reviewed in this update last week).  From the ‘bottom line’ of that update:  “Watch the gold miners.  A breakout (on a weekly close) here would signal a new leg to an initial target of 211.”

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vs. SPY

I created the title and then had a flashback to Spy vs. Spy… :-)

spyvspy

Anyway, here are some daily charts of other items vs. SPY.  I am getting nudged in the direction of ‘inflation trade’ and as part of that I might need to concede that the US stock market may not go the way of the bears with inflation in the system, post-Goldilocks. Several of my long positions are in alignment with a potential ‘inflation trade’, including US manufacturing/exporters.  I still hold SPY short.  Ouch, but it’s more than fine; the 2016 out performers are seeing to that.

Here are relevant markets vs. SPY, beginning the EM’s, which we long ago noted were out performing.  EEM-SPY is doinking the SMA 200 for the first time today.

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Gold Stock Charts

A few weekly charts of larger gold and silver miners originally shown in NFTRH 390 as part of a package of 11 different stocks, large and not so large. AEM…

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