Goldilocks still…

Goldilocks backdrop persists We expected a summer cool down in the inflation trades. We expected that to be reflected in a temporary Goldilocks environment (not too hot, not too cold…

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NFTRH 664, out now

The screenshot of page 1 tells it all. Well, maybe not but it's a cool picture. This week's report drills in depth to the macro topics that I think are…

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How long before Goldilocks is banished?

Goldilocks today, stagflation or deflation tomorrow? I get to write a post like this with a level of authority simply because NFTRH and possibly this public website were the only…

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Inflation Fades

As noted a million times out here in the last 6 months my question has been 'Q4 2019 or H1 2020?' for the next inflation trade. Well, since the recent…

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Jobs +136,000 as the Good Ship Lollipop Sails On

According to those seers who are paid to usually be wrong, NFP would show +145,000 jobs after a fairly weak 130,000 last month. The employment situation is flat-lining. You can…

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