Any discussion of the banks and greater Financials sector has to include a discussion about interest rates. I believe that long-term interest rates will eventually work higher and if that…
Would it not follow that companies who borrow short and lend long (i.e. as banks are usually thought to do) would benefit from the increasing spread between long and short-term…
Curiously, in a rising long-term interest rate environment... The Banks are still dropping. The Banks are still dropping harder than the S&P 500 (SPY). Despite the yield curve, which is…
Why, it's the Pigs. Despite all the interest rate hype the Banks, which should benefit from a breakout in long-term yields, are still bearish. In a now public update yesterday…
Okay, this has got my full attention now. While long-term interest rates do this... ...and this... The nominal Bank index is still doing this... While the S&P 500 and most…
As noted in this week's NFTRH US & Global Market Internals segment, an important leader is failing to lead. That is all the more notable because said important leader is…
We have been waiting to clear the Trade War noise and get to the meat of what will really drive the market view this summer; that is earnings season and…
When the Pigs fly tends to be when interest rate dynamics say they fly. Rising long-term interest rates, as long as they don't materially hurt the economy, are beneficial to…
Why has this market been so challenging for me? Well, for one thing a logical connection between the KBE/SPY ratio and yields broke recently as long-term yields rammed upward and…
This post started off as a simple one on the Financials, but then riffed along into yield dynamics and the contrary bond play - of a much different kind that…
Just because I have an interest on a macro level (interest rates and the dynamics therein) with rates being key to all other markets and because I have an interest…
With respect to yesterday's post, the 10yr yield has crept above the SMA 50 while the Financials and Banks seem to be thinking about it, pondering. It would seem almost…
We have shorted GS, longed GS and shorted it again (NFTRH+); all for profit (if only all trades worked so well). We also had a successful short setup on the…
This update will assume anyone interested in the trade also believes that long-term interest rates are going to decline near-term, despite overwhelming popular opinion to the contrary. I am one…