Public posts
By the XLV/SPY ratio and several other indicators, risk is back on in the markets VIX: Deeply depressed from the hysterical April high, indicating complacency High Yield (junk) Spreads: Deeply…
I was passing through the town of Shirley, MA on Saturday. That is the location of the former Fort Devens military base and home to military families. At the town…
An "inflation trade" is possible, but take heed of its shelf life With the tariff/trade war drums fading lately, the logical conclusion is "inflation trade upcoming!" and cyclical markets -…
Thank you for your interest in Hammer's trading ideas. Until we get the best format figured out his free posts will be available at a new blog: NFTRH++ (Preliminary). You…
Tariff effects always were going to be delayed... stagflation or deflation? If the thesis of this well thought out analytical string is correct, no tariff effects will have washed up…
$NEWT appears to be completing an 'abc' correction short of the 200dma and a gap down. Red circles show the overlap/resistance. I'm looking at 80-100c risk up vs $2.50 or…
05/15/25: Moved stop down to lock in a gain since the position worked some off the get go. If I stop out, it would automatically go back on watch for…
The chart of SPX and gold shows that volatility was hard-wired into a macro market situation that had been relatively normal prior to August, 1971 I love looking at pictures.…
05/15/25: Stopped out remainder. Will be looking for another setup, which would likely be a diamond consolidation continuation play on a break above the most recent high. I am trimming…
Copper, silver and gold are a chain of metals progressively working from highly cyclical to counter-cyclical [edit] Below is a picture of internal market rotations that could come in favor…
What was good for the bullish goose (sentiment extremes in March-April) is going to be good for bearish gander as well Excerpted from the May 11 edition of Notes From…
Okay, well, Hammer has got me engaged now. Trading is a thing, and while macro is my biggest thing, I like to do this thing on occasion as well. Why…
05/12/25: Trimmed on the pop and lifting stops to protect gains. $CZR had nice symmetry in a red 'abc' down through a neckline break with positive RSI and MACD divergences.…
Royal Gold (RGLD) eyeballing 198 target set in February Reference this post from February 13th: Royal Gold (RGLD) On The Verge, Post-Earnings Back then it was on the verge of…