Enter the Jawbones [w/ edit]
FOMC is 1.5 months away but the jawbones interfere with markets at will [edit] I actually got up on the wrong side of the bed, so I am not my…
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August 2, 2022
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FOMC: Speed readers on your marks…
Hot off the press... Recent indicators of spending and production have softened. Nonetheless, job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains…
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July 27, 2022
Hussman’s latest: Are we there yet?
John Hussman's July market comment Are We There Yet? I have not read ole' Doc Hussman in years but I've had him linked at this site for many years and…
July 12, 2022
The Fed’s position, in one picture
The Fed Funds rate has caught up to the 3 month T-bill yield, but the 2 year yield lurks above You can see that the Fed closed the gap as…
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June 15, 2022
FOMC
Overall economic activity appears to have picked up after edging down in the first quarter. Job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low.…
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June 15, 2022
CME Group considers .75% in the bag
FOMC to raise the funds rate by .75% It's actually not big news as last week CME Group traders had crept up to 20% odds that the Fed was going…
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June 14, 2022
A pivotal juncture for gold, gold stocks
Another hot CPI fails to suppress gold With FOMC on tap with an upcoming .5% rate hike, gold got hammered and bounced back with a vengeance on 'CPI' Friday. The…
June 10, 2022
Goons, T-minus 90 minutes…
It's Fed Minutes Wednesday The media will give us a heaping helping of hype (HHH or 3xH) today as the goons release what they talked about at the last FOMC…
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May 25, 2022
FOMC, hot off the press
With CME, you and me all expecting .5% hike that's a given. The wording will be interesting, but we all know the bond market is forcing them to do what…
May 4, 2022
Eggheads tardy in doing the right thing
FOMC finally to get a bit more serious about its hawkish stance After delaying and probably hoping against hope it would not have to do this, the Fed has to…
May 2, 2022
Lael (big) Brainard jawbones the market
Lael Brainard jawbones amped up rate hikes I was doing something non-market for a while, came back and saw my holdings having taken a bit of a haircut since last…
April 5, 2022
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Fed not hawkish; hellflation or liquidation ahead [w/ edit]
Is the Fed trying to blow another, more covert asset bubble? [edit] With a note that another, less viable option is possible as well. That would be a 'just right'…
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March 17, 2022
You tell ’em, Jim
St. Louis Fed president James Bullard holds the line Click graphic, get article with James Bullard hawking in monotone. I don't know why they've trotted him out again, as if…
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February 17, 2022
Fed Jawbones mean business [w/ edit]
3 month T-bill yield is demanding the Fed raise the Funds rate And the Fed is listening. [edit] After this post was published another Hawkish jawbone came in the form…
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February 10, 2022