NFTRH 743
Into the Sunset FOMC Rides... ...with man, machine, a crazy payrolls report and the usual mayhem in its wake we end the week as it began, with respect to the…
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February 5, 2023
GDX Golden Cross: a price paid
Another Golden Cross, another heartbreak and a price paid by believers in this TA novelty It usually, if not always, goes this way. As noted on January 24, the Golden…
February 3, 2023
As the Gold price gets hammered…
The gold price is getting hammered, but its ratios generally are not... And that means something. Using the associated ETFs... Gold price adjusted by the silver price: not hammered. Gold/Silver…
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February 3, 2023
NFTRH+; Amid the mayhem, this item is risk/reward positive
I've been mentioning the seasonal low that Natural Gas tends to make in February. Here is the graph. If it were to follow this map it would make a low…
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February 3, 2023
Inflation Expectations
Inflation expectations are not buying the blowout January Payrolls report The 10 year breakeven inflation rate has been declining (the 5 year is similar) for the better part of a…
February 3, 2023
January Payrolls +517,000
January payrolls boomed at +517,000 You can click the graphic to get the details from BLS: I was quite taken aback by how strong the January Payrolls reading was. While…
February 3, 2023
NFTRH+; Here it comes
Gold is cracking below 1920 (currently futures are 1901). Silver is cracking out of consolidation below key resistance and also poking through the daily SMA 50 (currently futures are 22.95).…
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February 3, 2023
NFTRH+; Gold/Silver ratio w/ ref. to this morning’s update
This morning we noted... Point being, the GSR has not broken down. It is pulling back on the concept of “Fed relief” that we’ve been discussing for months now. In…
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February 2, 2023
NFTRH+; GDX
Energy down. Copper/industrial metals down. Gold/Gold miners down. Makes sense. Only it doesn't and in the best of the bull it won't. But we have been managing a coming interim…
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February 2, 2023
NFTRH+; Reviewing the plan for SPX
Daily & weekly charts of SPX SPX daily is on plan as it takes out the next resistance level and looks to fill the open gap at 4219. It would…
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February 2, 2023
Goldilocks, this picture shows three bears in the room and scared little girl running away from them, vintage line drawing or engraving illustration
Goldilocks
A whiff of Goldilocks, on cue... As inflation fades but the economy remains intact. Amid the Q4-Q1 broad rally projection and specifically due to our view of fading inflation signals…
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February 2, 2023
NFTRH+; Gold, Silver & the GSR
In that they are rallying with the broad global macro, gold and silver - along with the miners - are still nothing special. I expect them to be special in…
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February 2, 2023
Yesterday’s NFTRH+ post on GDX now public
GDX options per NFTRH+ update yesterday Yesterday we did a little in-day micromanagement of GDX in an NFTRH+ update based on some hints I was seeing. I have opened the…
February 1, 2023
The tardy Fed and the new macro
As FOMC readies its .25% rate hike today… In 2021 and 2022 we called the Federal Reserve "tardy" on several occasions as they doggedly held to their "transitory" inflation stance…
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February 1, 2023
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